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Category Archives: Marginality
Labour’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 1st June 2011 The Labour Party made significant gains in the February 2011 election, almost doubling their share of the vote nationally and increasing their number of Dail seats from 20 to 37. Due mainly to the party’s … Continue reading
Posted in Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Marginality
Tagged Labour Party, Marginality
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Fine Gael’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 1st June 2011 Following on the previous posts, which looked at marginal constituencies that could be targets for Fianna Fail and Sinn Fein gains at the next general election, I will now progress from the main opposition parties to … Continue reading
Posted in Candidates, Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Marginality
Tagged Fine Gael, Marginality
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Sinn Fein’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2011 Sinn Fein emerged from General Election 2011 with the strongest ever performance in a Dail general election in the party’s history, or at least since the early 1920s, winning 10% of the vote and 14 seats in Dail … Continue reading
Fianna Fail’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2011 Fianna Fail’s poor election performance has lead some commentators to speculate that the party may be out of power for a considerable period of time, but a study of individual constituency results suggests that significant … Continue reading
Swings and round-up-the-counts: Constituency marginality in 2011 General Election
Adrian Kavanagh, 10th March 2011 While not involving the raft of close contests that marked General Election 2002, there were still sufficient close calls and marathon counts to whet the appetite in this year’s election, with the following table ranking constituencies in … Continue reading
Posted in Constituency information, Election data, Marginality
Tagged Constituency size, Marginality
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