Seanad 2011 results – Cultural and Educational panel

Posted on April 26, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th April 2011

Fine Gael 2 seats, Fianna Fail 2 seats, Labour Party 1 seat

Elected: Deidre Clune FG, Labhras O’Murchu FF, Thomas Byrne FF, John Gilroy LB, Michael Mullins FG (Inside panel candidates underlined)

With no Sinn Fein candidate contesting this panel, the destination of the 67 votes controlled by Sinn Fein was always going to be crucial here and it seems as if these votes have favoured Fianna Fail candidates, with Fianna Fail candidates winning 12.2% more first preference votes here than their share of the Seanad 2011 electorate would entitle them to. Continue reading →

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Seanad Elections – Part IV Gender and the Vocational Panels

Posted on April 15, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 15 April 2011

Given that elected politicians (county and city councillors, TDs, Senators) for the electorate for the vocational panel elections, it is not surprising that females account for a relatively small proportion of the eligible electors for these panels. For the current contest 16.2% of the Seanad vocational panel electorate are female, increasing to 17.3% when only electors from the main political parties are considered.  Does this have an impact in terms of the relative prospects of females in, first of all, getting nominated to contest the Seanad elections and, secondly, in polling well and winning seats in these contests? A study of voting, and seat, trends for the past three Seanad elections show that female electoral prospects vary, and vary quite significantly, by vocational panel. Continue reading →

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Seanad Elections – Part III Geographies of Voting and Representation

Posted on April 15, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 15 April 2011

Number of Seanad vocational panel votes per candidates by constituency, 1997-2007

Number of Seanad vocational panel votes per candidates by constituency, 1997-2007

With significantly higher numbers of eligible voters and candidates, as detailed in the previous two posts, it would be expected that a similar spatial pattern would be observed when looking at the number of votes that candidates from different constituencies have won in previous Seanad contests. Continue reading →

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Seanad Elections – Part II Candidates

Posted on April 15, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh
 
Seanad (vocational panels) candidates by constituency, 2011 General Election
Seanad (vocational panels) candidates by constituency, 2011 General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 15 April 2011

The last post showed that certain parts of the states and certain constituencies – mainly two-county constituencies located in mainly rural areas such as the Midlands and parts of the North-West and South-East regions – tend to be over-represented at the expense of other areas when it comes to studying the geographical composition of the Seanad (vocational panels) electorate. 

As the map above shows (detailing number of Seanad vocational panels candidates per general election constituency) the geography of candidates largely mirrors that of the Seanad voters geography, with a tendency for the regions with the highest number of Seanad electors to also be the regions with the highest numbers of competing Seanad candidates, although certain constituencies are better represented here than their levels of Seanad voters would have suggested (e.g. Kerry South, Cork South Central, Dun Laoghaire, Limerick). Continue reading →

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Seanad Elections – Part I The Electorate

Posted on April 15, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh 14 April 2011

Seanad voters (vocational panel) per constituency, 2011 - sorry, map involves 2007 constituency boundaries

Seanad voters (vocational panel) per constituency, 2011 - sorry, map involves 2007 constituency boundaries

Voting for the vocational panels and the university panels is currently ongoing with the votes for these constituencies due to be counted in a few weeks time. Voting for these panels is not organised on a geographical basis – there are no geographical constituencies – and hence one would not expect a significant spatial basis to be uncovered for these contests; furthermore without tally figures there is no basis for to detect if voters do vote geographically – preferring candidates from their own constituency or region when it comes to casting their votes. But a study of candidate-selection, voting and seat trends for the vocational panels would suggest that there is a hidden geography at play in these contests. Continue reading →

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Talk – Geographical perspective on 2011 elections, 11th April, Drumcondra

Posted on March 31, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

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Ministerial appointments by constituency

Posted on March 10, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, Thursday 10th March

This post will look at the recent ministerial appointments by constituency and by region and will consider whether Geography had an influence on these. Continue reading →

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Tally Ho! Local newspapers publishing General Election 2011 tally figures

Posted on March 10, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 10th March 2011

Tally figures are being/have been published in a number of local papers in the weeks after the 2011 General Election, but which ones? Continue reading →

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Swings and round-up-the-counts: Constituency marginality in 2011 General Election

Posted on March 10, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 10th March 2011

While not involving the raft of close contests that marked General Election 2002, there were still sufficient close calls and marathon counts to whet the appetite in this year’s election, with the following table ranking constituencies in terms of the number of votes separating the last two candidates on the final count. Continue reading →

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Votes won by Female candidates in 2011 General Election

Posted on March 8, 2011 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 8th March 2011

For the day that’s in it – this post ranks constituencies based on the share of the vote won by female candidates in the 2011 General Election. Even though there was no noticeable urban-rural divide in terms of candidacy levels (probably reflecting the higher number of mainly male independent candidates in the Dublin region in this election) a noticeable difference emerges between Dublin/urban Ireland and the rest of Ireland/rural areas in terms of vote share. Continue reading →

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