Category Archives: opinion polls

Fine Gael experiencing a “Leo-Leap”?: Constituency-level analysis of the Ireland Thinks/Dail Mail opinion poll (26 June 2017) and other Summer 2017 polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th June 2017 Having experienced a series of poor figures across opinion polls in the earlier months of 2017, the Fine Gael party fortunes did improve somewhat in the polls carried out in March and April. Changes of party … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (8th June 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 8th June 2017 It’s Election Day in the United Kingdom. What do the final opinion poll figures of the general election campaign suggest in relation to the likely number of seats that each party will win in that contest? … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (29th May 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 29th May 2017 There is little more than a week left now until the general election that is scheduled to be held in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8th June 2017. What do the latest opinion poll figures … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (24th May 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 24th May 2017 There are just over two weeks to go until the general election that is scheduled to be held in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8th June 2017. What do the latest opinion poll figures suggest in … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (19th April 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 19th April 2017 Following an announcement by Theresa May yesterday and a House of Commons vote to confirm this today, a “snap” general election is now scheduled to be held in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8th June 2017. … Continue reading

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“Heading towards a Three-Party System?”: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (2nd March 2017) and other March/April/May polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 2nd March 2017 After a series of poor figures across opinion polls in the earlier months of 2017, this morning’s Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll brings better news for Fine Gael – offering the party its highest support level across most of … Continue reading

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Happy New Year for Fianna Fail?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (29th January 2017) and other early 2017 polls

Adrian Kavanagh 2nd February 2017 – with other updates during February 2017 As noted in a previous post, a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s high … Continue reading

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