Tag Archives: opinion poll

“Time to go?”: Mixed messages across recent opinion polls, but Fine Gael still holds strong. Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI (16th October) poll and other Autumn 2018 polls

Posted on October 16, 2018 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018 As the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Bill 2017 was officially passed into law just before Christmas 2017, the new Constituency Commission electoral boundaries are now used as the basis for the analysis. The translation of … Continue reading →

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Blue Tide Rising? Constituency-level analysis of the September 2017 opinion polls

Posted on September 26, 2017 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2017 With the exception of the June Ireland Thinks/Daily Mail opinion poll, Fine Gael did not seem to be experiencing an immediate “Leo-leap” in the polls carried out following the change of party leader some months ago. The … Continue reading →

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Happy New Year for Fianna Fail?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (29th January 2017) and other early 2017 polls

Posted on February 2, 2017 by

Adrian Kavanagh 2nd February 2017 – with other updates during February 2017 As noted in a previous post, a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s high … Continue reading →

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Festive joy for Fianna Fail and Fine Gael: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll (8th December 2016)

Posted on December 8, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 8th December 2016 After a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s high support levels in polls during the Summer, this morning’s Ipsos-MRBI poll … Continue reading →

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Heading towards a three-party, not a two-and-a-half party, system?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll (6th October 2016)

Posted on October 6, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th October 2016 After little change in party support levels had been evidenced in the wake of the February general election, a series of opinion polls in July 2016 (most notably the July Ipsos-MRBI poll) pointed to significant gains … Continue reading →

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As You Were More Or Less…: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (25th September 2016)

Posted on September 26, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2016 After little change in party support levels had been evidenced in the wake of the February general election, a series of opinion polls in July 2016 pointed to significant gains in support for Fianna Fail, pushing … Continue reading →

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Larger parties lose some ground to Sinn Fein: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (18th September 2016)

Posted on September 21, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 21st September 2016 The 18th September Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll shows  Fianna Fail still holding the position of the most popular political party in the state,  standing some five percentage points ahead of Fine Gael. However, the two … Continue reading →

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Fianna Fail surge confirmed: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C and Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls (18th July 2016)

Posted on July 18, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th July 2016 (Updated: 30th July 2016) The July 7th  Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll had shown the most dramatic movement in political party support levels since the February 26th General Election, pointing to a notable increase in support for Fianna Fail, … Continue reading →

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The Noughties Coming Back as Fianna Fail surge?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (7th July 2016)

Posted on July 7, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th July 2016 You wait months for an opinion poll to show significant changes in party/grouping support levels and then, like Dublin Bus, two of them come at once! The series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls carried out in the … Continue reading →

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Good poll for largest parties, but a bad one for the independents: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (3rd July 2016)

Posted on July 4, 2016 by

Adrian Kavanagh, 4th July 2016 After a series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls showed little in the way of movement in terms of support levels for different parties and groupings, the first Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll since the February 26th election shows some notable shifts … Continue reading →

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