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Tag Archives: opinion poll
“Time to go?”: Mixed messages across recent opinion polls, but Fine Gael still holds strong. Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI (16th October) poll and other Autumn 2018 polls
Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018 As the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Bill 2017 was officially passed into law just before Christmas 2017, the new Constituency Commission electoral boundaries are now used as the basis for the analysis. The translation of … Continue reading
Blue Tide Rising? Constituency-level analysis of the September 2017 opinion polls
Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2017 With the exception of the June Ireland Thinks/Daily Mail opinion poll, Fine Gael did not seem to be experiencing an immediate “Leo-leap” in the polls carried out following the change of party leader some months ago. The … Continue reading
Happy New Year for Fianna Fail?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (29th January 2017) and other early 2017 polls
Adrian Kavanagh 2nd February 2017 – with other updates during February 2017 As noted in a previous post, a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s high … Continue reading
Festive joy for Fianna Fail and Fine Gael: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll (8th December 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 8th December 2016 After a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s high support levels in polls during the Summer, this morning’s Ipsos-MRBI poll … Continue reading
Heading towards a three-party, not a two-and-a-half party, system?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll (6th October 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 6th October 2016 After little change in party support levels had been evidenced in the wake of the February general election, a series of opinion polls in July 2016 (most notably the July Ipsos-MRBI poll) pointed to significant gains … Continue reading
As You Were More Or Less…: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (25th September 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2016 After little change in party support levels had been evidenced in the wake of the February general election, a series of opinion polls in July 2016 pointed to significant gains in support for Fianna Fail, pushing … Continue reading
Larger parties lose some ground to Sinn Fein: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (18th September 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 21st September 2016 The 18th September Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll shows Fianna Fail still holding the position of the most popular political party in the state, standing some five percentage points ahead of Fine Gael. However, the two … Continue reading
Fianna Fail surge confirmed: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C and Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls (18th July 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 18th July 2016 (Updated: 30th July 2016) The July 7th Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll had shown the most dramatic movement in political party support levels since the February 26th General Election, pointing to a notable increase in support for Fianna Fail, … Continue reading
The Noughties Coming Back as Fianna Fail surge?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (7th July 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 7th July 2016 You wait months for an opinion poll to show significant changes in party/grouping support levels and then, like Dublin Bus, two of them come at once! The series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls carried out in the … Continue reading
Good poll for largest parties, but a bad one for the independents: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (3rd July 2016)
Adrian Kavanagh, 4th July 2016 After a series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls showed little in the way of movement in terms of support levels for different parties and groupings, the first Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll since the February 26th election shows some notable shifts … Continue reading
Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses 