Tag Archives: Green Party

Green Party/Comhaontas Glas candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, First posted 7th November 2018, with updates as new candidate nominations announced. Any links in this post are to online announcements of candidate selections – there will be no specific links to candidate web pages. The sixth of … Continue reading

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“Time to go?”: Mixed messages across recent opinion polls, but Fine Gael still holds strong. Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI (16th October) poll and other Autumn 2018 polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018 As the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Bill 2017 was officially passed into law just before Christmas 2017, the new Constituency Commission electoral boundaries are now used as the basis for the analysis. The translation of … Continue reading

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Flashback: Seat estimates for Irish Independent-Millward Brown Lansdowne and Paddy Power-Red C opinion polls, 23rd February 2011

Adrian Kavanagh, 27th September 2017 A look back at an old constituency-level poll analysis – this one being the last analyses carried out ahead of the so-called “earthquake” election of 2011. This article was originally posted on what was then … Continue reading

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Fine Gael experiencing a “Leo-Leap”?: Constituency-level analysis of the Ireland Thinks/Dail Mail opinion poll (26 June 2017) and other Summer 2017 polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th June 2017 Having experienced a series of poor figures across opinion polls in the earlier months of 2017, the Fine Gael party fortunes did improve somewhat in the polls carried out in March and April. Changes of party … Continue reading

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“Heading towards a Three-Party System?”: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (2nd March 2017) and other March/April/May polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 2nd March 2017 After a series of poor figures across opinion polls in the earlier months of 2017, this morning’s Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll brings better news for Fine Gael – offering the party its highest support level across most of … Continue reading

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Happy New Year for Fianna Fail?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (29th January 2017) and other early 2017 polls

Adrian Kavanagh 2nd February 2017 – with other updates during February 2017 As noted in a previous post, a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s high … Continue reading

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Back to the Feb-ture?: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (27th November 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 28th November 2016 The November 2016 Red C opinion polls shows little in the way of changes in support levels since the previous Red C poll in October. The main change here sees Sinn Fein gaining a further three percentage points in terms of their … Continue reading

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