Monthly Archives: December 2015

Elections to 25th Seanad (2016): Lists of Nominated Candidates and Analysis of Trends

Adrian Kavanagh, 22nd December 2015 Elsewhere on this site, I have compiled a list of the selected/declared candidates for the 2016 Dail elections, but this post lists the nominated candidates for the 2016 Seanad elections. (The earlier version of this … Continue reading

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Constituency-level analyses of national opinion polls carried out during 2015: A review.

Adrian Kavanagh, 31st December 2015 During the past year (2015), I carried out constituency-level analyses of thirty one different national opinion polls in order to produce Dail-seat estimates based on those support levels. These analyses involved fourteen Red C (Sunday Business … Continue reading

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Days get shorter as do odds of Government returning to power: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (20th December 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 19th December 2015  Registering their highest combined support levels in an opinion poll since the Millward Brown poll of 25th January 2014, the latest Red C opinion offers Festive tidings for Fine Gael and Labour, with both registering an increase in support levels. … Continue reading

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Tidings of Joy for the Government Parties?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitiudes opinion poll (13th December 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 13th December 2015  The last Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll of 2015 brings some very good news for the government parties, while reflecting the trends observed in the latest Ipsos-MRBI, Red C and Millward Brown opinion polls. This poll represents the highest combined support … Continue reading

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Labour gains and Fine Gael pains : Constituency-level analysis of the Paddy Power-Red C opinion poll (3rd December 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 3rd December 2015  The latest Red C opinion poll once again brings mixed messages for the government parties, but this time the good news is for the Labour Party and not Fine Gael. After seeming marooned on the 7% support level … Continue reading

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