Category Archives: Uncategorized

The Empire Strikes Back: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (5th October 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 5th October 2017 The trends evidenced in the most recent other opinion polls are readily apparent in this morning’s Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll, which shows support levels for Fine Gael and Fianna Fail (and Sinn Fein) that are notably … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Census 2016 Definitive Population by Area Figures: What these mean for the 2017 Constituency Commission review

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th April 2017 The final/definitive population by area Census 2016 figures were published earlier today (at 11 am), showing a population level within the state of 4,761,865, marking a notable increase (of 173,613 – 3.8%) on the 4,588,252 population … Continue reading

Posted in Census 2016, Constituency Commission, Election boundaries, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Geography of the 2016 USA Presidential Election: Analysing the Republican Party vote

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th-10th January 2017  This article will offer a geographical perspective on the election results at the 2016 USA Presidential election. I have purposely held off on writing this article for the past few weeks, as election results still … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

AAA-PBP SBB ina Shuí?: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (30th October 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 1st November 2016 The latest in series of Red C opinion polls shows little change in support levels for the two largest parties in the wake of the recent Budget, with Fianna Fail support levels dropping by one percentage point, while … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Final Seat levels at February 2016 General Election – An Overview

Adrian Kavanagh, 3rd March 2016 With the Longford-Westmeath “long count” about to conclude this morning with the election of Fine Gael’s Peter Burke and Labour’s Willie Penrose, the final overall seat tallies can be confirmed as follows: Fine Gael 50 … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

RTE-Behaviour & Attitudes exit poll (27th February) – quick overview

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th February 2016 The RTE-Behaviour & Attitudes exit poll was published within the last few minutes Figures are similar to last night’s exit poll, but slightly worse for the government parties. These figures suggest that support levels for both government … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI exit poll (26th February) – quick overview

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th February 2016 The Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI exit poll was published literally within an hour of polls closing These figures suggest that support levels for both government parties have fallen by nearly ten percent relative to their 2011 … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment