Monthly Archives: July 2016

Fianna Fail surge confirmed: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C and Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls (18th July 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th July 2016 (Updated: 30th July 2016) The July 7th  Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll had shown the most dramatic movement in political party support levels since the February 26th General Election, pointing to a notable increase in support for Fianna Fail, … Continue reading

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Census 2016 Preliminary Population Figures – What these mean for 2016/17 Constituency Commission review

Adrian Kavanagh, 14th July 2016 The preliminary population by area Census 2016 figures were published earlier today (at 11 am), showing a population level within the state of 4,757,976, marking a notable increase (of 169,724) on the 4,588,252 population level … Continue reading

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Census 2016 Provisional Figures and the Revising/Redrawing of Constituency Boundaries

Adrian Kavanagh, 8th July 2016 The publication of provisional Census 2016 figures on Thursday 14th July 2016 means that a process of revising and redrawing constituency boundaries for general and European elections will commence, after a new Constituency Commission is established. … Continue reading

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The Noughties Coming Back as Fianna Fail surge?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (7th July 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th July 2016 You wait months for an opinion poll to show significant changes in party/grouping support levels and then, like Dublin Bus, two of them come at once! The series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls carried out in the … Continue reading

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City and County Council Members – Co-options and Changes since the 2014 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th July 2016 (with subsequent updates) The 2014 Local Elections resulted in the election of 949 City and County Councillors. Since that election, I have estimated that 98 of the successful candidates in these elections, or candidates who were … Continue reading

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Good poll for largest parties, but a bad one for the independents: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (3rd July 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 4th July 2016 After a series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls showed little in the way of movement in terms of support levels for different parties and groupings, the first Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll since the February 26th election shows some notable shifts … Continue reading

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Little change heading into the Summer Recess…: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (26th June 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 1st July 2016 The April and May Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls had shown Fianna Fail edging ahead of Fine Gael, but Fine Gael regains the initiative in the latest in the latest in the series of Sunday Times-Behaviour & … Continue reading

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