Category Archives: General Election

TDs (32nd Dáil Éireann) who will not be contesting the next general election

Adrian Kavanagh, 10th August 2018 Following on similar posts that were completed ahead of the 2011 General Election and the 2016 General Election, this post will list all of the Dail deputies who have retired/stepped down during the lifetime of … Continue reading

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The Younger Ones: General Election (2018-2021) candidates aged between 21 and 35

Adrian Kavanagh, Originally posted on 20th July 2018 In a similar vein to earlier posts relating to the 2016 General Election and 2011 General Election candidates and a similar post relating to younger candidates contesting the 2014 City and County Council elections, … Continue reading

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Flashback: Seat estimates for Irish Independent-Millward Brown Lansdowne and Paddy Power-Red C opinion polls, 23rd February 2011

Adrian Kavanagh, 27th September 2017 A look back at an old constituency-level poll analysis – this one being the last analyses carried out ahead of the so-called “earthquake” election of 2011. This article was originally posted on what was then … Continue reading

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Blue Tide Rising? Constituency-level analysis of the September 2017 opinion polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2017 With the exception of the June Ireland Thinks/Daily Mail opinion poll, Fine Gael did not seem to be experiencing an immediate “Leo-leap” in the polls carried out following the change of party leader some months ago. The … Continue reading

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Fine Gael experiencing a “Leo-Leap”?: Constituency-level analysis of the Ireland Thinks/Dail Mail opinion poll (26 June 2017) and other Summer 2017 polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th June 2017 Having experienced a series of poor figures across opinion polls in the earlier months of 2017, the Fine Gael party fortunes did improve somewhat in the polls carried out in March and April. Changes of party … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (8th June 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 8th June 2017 It’s Election Day in the United Kingdom. What do the final opinion poll figures of the general election campaign suggest in relation to the likely number of seats that each party will win in that contest? … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (29th May 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 29th May 2017 There is little more than a week left now until the general election that is scheduled to be held in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8th June 2017. What do the latest opinion poll figures … Continue reading

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