Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer in Maynooth University Department of Geography.

Candidates for the next (2017-2021) General Election by constituency

Adrian Kavanagh (First posted on 19th April 2017 – this post will be updated as and when new candidates are selected/declared) The run in to the next general election, which can take place at any stage over the next four years, … Continue reading

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Predicting Seat Levels in the 2017 UK General Election based on recent Opinion Poll Figures (19th April 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 19th April 2017 Following an announcement by Theresa May yesterday and a House of Commons vote to confirm this today, a “snap” general election is now scheduled to be held in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8th June 2017. … Continue reading

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Census 2016 Definitive Population by Area Figures: What these mean for the 2017 Constituency Commission review

The final/definitive population by area Census 2016 figures were published earlier today (at 11 am), showing a population level within the state of 4,761,865, marking a notable increase (of 173,613 – 3.8%) on the 4,588,252 population level recorded for the 2011 … Continue reading

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Heading towards a three-party system?: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (2nd March 2017)

Adrian Kavanagh, 2nd March 2017 After a series of poor figures across opinion polls in the earlier months of 2017, this morning’s Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll brings better news for Fine Gael – offering the party its highest support level across most of … Continue reading

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Happy New Year for Fianna Fail?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (29th January 2017) and other early 2017 polls

  Adrian Kavanagh 2nd February 2017 – with other updates during February 2017 As noted in a previous post, a series of polls in the Autumn/early Winter had pointed to a drop in support levels for Fianna Fail relative to that party’s … Continue reading

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Commentary on Public Submissions to the 2017 Constituency Commission

In July 2016, immediately following after the publication of provisional population by area figures by the Central Statistics Office for the 2016 Census, a new Constituency Commission was set in place to begin the process of redrawing European and general election constituency … Continue reading

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The Geography of the 2016 USA Presidential Election: Analysing the Republican Party vote

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th-10th January 2017  This article will offer a geographical perspective on the election results at the 2016 USA Presidential election. I have purposely held off on writing this article for the past few weeks, as election results still … Continue reading

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