Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

Unknown's avatar

About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer at the Maynooth University Department of Geography. Email: adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie

Party vote levels at by-elections, 1980-2011

Adrian Kavanagh, March 6th 2013 Since January 1st 1980, twenty-four Dail by-elections have been held in the Republic of Ireland involving two hundred candidates who have won a combined total of 816,989 votes in these. Fianna Fail has been the … Continue reading

Posted in by-election, Candidates, Election data | Tagged | Leave a comment

Support for government parties in Dail by-elections between 1980 and 2011

With the Meath East by-election scheduled to take place on March 27th 2013, this is a good time to review statistics for voting patterns in recent by-election contests. This post, reviewing such patterns in the 24 by-elections during the period … Continue reading

Posted in by-election, Constituency information, Election data | Tagged | 1 Comment

Geography of Voter Turnout for the 2012 Childrens Referendum in Dublin City

Adrian Kavanagh, 13th December 2012 This post can be viewed as a follow on from the previous two posts, which studied the geography of voter turnout for the 2012 Fiscal Stability Treaty referendum at a sub-constituency level for the Dublin City constituencies, as … Continue reading

Posted in Referendum elections, Voter turnout | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The geography of voter turnout in Dublin City for the 2012 Fiscal Stability Treaty Referendum

Adrian Kavanagh, 15th November 2012 As someone who has been interested in the area of voter turnout since commencing PhD researches on this topic back in…gulp…1999 and as a geographer, I am always interested in attaining turnout data for very … Continue reading

Posted in Referendum elections, Voter turnout | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

A geographical view of the 2012 Children’s Referendum vote

Adrian Kavanagh, 12th November 2012 The Children’s Referendum vote, which took place on Satuday (10th November 2012),  was passed on a lower than expected (but rather comfortable) margin of 615,731 votes (58.00%) to 445,863 (42.00%). This referendum vote had the third lowest ever … Continue reading

Posted in Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Referendum elections, Voter turnout | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Voter turnout levels in referendum elections in the Republic of Ireland, 1937-2012

Adrian Kavanagh, 9th November 2012 (updates – 12th November 2012) Referendum elections have taken place on twenty seven different occasions in the history of the Irish state, with a significant increase in the incidence of these in more recent decades … Continue reading

Posted in Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Referendum elections, Voter turnout | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Analysing support change in the 2012 US Presidential election: The Sandy/Katrina factor

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th November 2012

Posted in Election boundaries, opinion polls, US elections | 1 Comment

US Presidential Election: Could Romney win the popular vote but lose the election?

Following his convincing win in last week’s debate, Mitt Romney’s poll resurgence has seen him overtake Barack Obama in the national poll figures over the past few days pushed him into the lead, being 1.5 percentage points ahead of Obama … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls, US elections | Leave a comment

Estimating the US Presidential election: applying national opinion poll levels to the state-level contests

Opinion polls ahead of November’s presidential election contest in the United States of America are pointing to a close contest between Barack Obama and his Republic Party challenger, Mitt Romney, with an averaging out of the most recent polls, following … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls, US elections | 1 Comment

Gender Quota legislation: Challenges and opportunities

Adrian Kavanagh, 19th July 2012 The passing of gender quota legislation in the Dail today, linking the state funding of political parties to a requirement that female candidates will account for at least 30% of those parties’ total number of … Continue reading

Posted in Constituency Commission, Gender | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments