Top Posts & Pages
- Selected/Declared Candidates for the 2026 Galway West and Dublin Central By-Elections
- City and County Council Members – Co-options and Changes since the 2024 Local Elections
- Recent Publications by Adrian Kavanagh
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- Fine Gael candidate selections
- The 1995 Divorce Referendum: A Geographical Retrospect
- About Adrian Kavanagh/Contact Details
- Commentary on voting trends in 2011 General Election
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Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh
By-elections: Bad for government parties’ health?
With the Dublin West by-election scheduled to take place on the same day as the Presidential Election, this is a good time to review statistics for voting patterns in recent by-election contests. This post, reviewing such patterns in the 23 … Continue reading
Electoral boundary proposals for a 156-seat Dail
Until the Constituency Commission decides on the exact number of seats that will be in the next Dail – they have been set a range from 152 to 160 seats (or effectively a 153 to 160 seats range, as the 152 option … Continue reading
Commentary on election boundary implications of Census 2011 figures – 158 seat Dail context
Following on from the previous post, this post will consider what might happen our current constituency configurations if a 158 seat tally was agreed on and in light of the provisional population levels:
Commentary on election boundary implications of Census 2011 figures – 160 seat Dail context:
Following on from the previous post, this post will consider what might happen our current constituency configurations if a 160 seat tally was agreed on and in light of the provisional population levels:
Commentary on election boundary implications of Census 2011 figures – 156 seat Dail context
The publication of preliminary population and population by area figures for the 2011 Census on June 30th point to the need for extensive boundary changes, especially in light of the government commitment to significantly reduce the number of Dail seats. … Continue reading
Labour’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 1st June 2011 The Labour Party made significant gains in the February 2011 election, almost doubling their share of the vote nationally and increasing their number of Dail seats from 20 to 37. Due mainly to the party’s … Continue reading
Posted in Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Marginality
Tagged Labour Party, Marginality
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Fine Gael’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 1st June 2011 Following on the previous posts, which looked at marginal constituencies that could be targets for Fianna Fail and Sinn Fein gains at the next general election, I will now progress from the main opposition parties to … Continue reading
Posted in Candidates, Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Marginality
Tagged Fine Gael, Marginality
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Sinn Fein’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2011 Sinn Fein emerged from General Election 2011 with the strongest ever performance in a Dail general election in the party’s history, or at least since the early 1920s, winning 10% of the vote and 14 seats in Dail … Continue reading
Fianna Fail’s target constituencies for the next general election
Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2011 Fianna Fail’s poor election performance has lead some commentators to speculate that the party may be out of power for a considerable period of time, but a study of individual constituency results suggests that significant … Continue reading
146-seat Dail boundary configuration means very few breaches of county boundaries
Adrian Kavanagh, 17 May 2011 One of the main aims set down for the Constituency Commission is for the committee to avoid, if practicable breaching county boundaries when drawing up new/revising Dail constituency boundaries (with the exception of local authority … Continue reading
Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses 