Monthly Archives: February 2016

FG-FF or Voting Again?: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (22nd February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 22nd February 2016 After three opinion polls in yesterday’s newspapers, we today see the last Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll of the current general election campaign. The trends in this poll are quite similar to that of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown … Continue reading

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Independents’ Day beckoning?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (21st February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th February 2016 A night of opinion polls brings no real consensus as to the shape of the government that will/might emerge after Friday’s general election. The third of this weekend’s polls – the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown poll … Continue reading

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A Blue Phoenix?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (21st February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th February 2016 Hot on the heels of a Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll, which brought some good news for Fine Gael, Fianna Fail and the Independents and Others but some bad news for Sinn Fein and awful news for … Continue reading

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Love’s Labour’s Lost?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitiudes opinion poll (21st February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th February 2016 The last Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll of the February 2016 general election campaign again brings some very mixed messages for the two government parties. There is good news for Fine Gael, in which the downwards … Continue reading

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Constituency Electorate Sizes and Quota Estimates for the 2016 General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 19th February 2016 The Department of Environment has now made available electorate figures for all of the 40 Dail constituencies being contested in next Friday’s (26th February) general election contest. As these stand, numbers on the supplementary register … Continue reading

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“You’re not from around here, are yeah?”: Just how local are the 2016 General Election candidates?

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th February 2016 All politics is local, it is claimed. This especially proves to be the case when it comes to Irish elections. For a variety of reason, voters tend to vote for candidates from their local area … Continue reading

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Better Luck Next Time Baby…: 2011 General Election candidates with the lowest first preference votes

Adrian Kavanagh, 17th February 2016 Every hurling team cannot be Kilkenny. Every rugby team cannot be New Zealand. Every Eurovision country cannot be Ireland. For every poll-topper, there has to be the candidate at the bottom of the pile. While … Continue reading

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