Monthly Archives: February 2016

Love’s Labour’s Lost?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitiudes opinion poll (21st February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th February 2016 The last Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll of the February 2016 general election campaign again brings some very mixed messages for the two government parties. There is good news for Fine Gael, in which the downwards … Continue reading

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Constituency Electorate Sizes and Quota Estimates for the 2016 General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 19th February 2016 The Department of Environment has now made available electorate figures for all of the 40 Dail constituencies being contested in next Friday’s (26th February) general election contest. As these stand, numbers on the supplementary register … Continue reading

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“You’re not from around here, are yeah?”: Just how local are the 2016 General Election candidates?

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th February 2016 All politics is local, it is claimed. This especially proves to be the case when it comes to Irish elections. For a variety of reason, voters tend to vote for candidates from their local area … Continue reading

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Better Luck Next Time Baby…: 2011 General Election candidates with the lowest first preference votes

Adrian Kavanagh, 17th February 2016 Every hurling team cannot be Kilkenny. Every rugby team cannot be New Zealand. Every Eurovision country cannot be Ireland. For every poll-topper, there has to be the candidate at the bottom of the pile. While … Continue reading

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Blue Tuesday for Fine Gael: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Sun-Red C opinion poll (17th February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th February 2016 The February 7th Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll had brought some good news for Fine Gael and Labour in the face of less positive news from the other polls published around that same time. But since … Continue reading

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Valentine’s Day Massacre for Government Parties?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (14th February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 13th February 2016 Last week’s Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll brought some good news for Fine Gael and Labour in the face of less positive news from the other polls published around that same time. A Paddy Power-Red C opinion poll, … Continue reading

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Numbers working against the government parties: Constituency-level analysis of the Paddy Power-Red C opinion poll (7th February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 10th February 2016 Across the four polls published in the first few days of the official general election campaign, the Sunday Business Post-Red C poll obviously offered the best news for the two government parties, with their combined support estimates … Continue reading

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Poll-axed?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (7th February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th February 2016 Continuing the trend of widely varying support levels patterns across recent polls, the latest Sunday Independent-Millward Brown brings as much bad news for the two government parties and good news for Fianna Fail/Sinn Fein as this weekend’s Red … Continue reading

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More mixed results for the Government Parties: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitiudes opinion poll (7th February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th February 2016 The second Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll of 2016 again brings mixed messages for the two government parties, but in this case it will be Fine  This weekend’s Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes poll estimates party support levels as follows (and relative … Continue reading

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A fine gale behind Government parties?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (7th February 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th February 2016 Only a few days after a highly disappointing showing in the Ipsos-MRBI poll, the latest in the series of Red C opinion polls brings much better news for the two government parties. Fine Gael claw back most of the … Continue reading

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