Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

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About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer at the Maynooth University Department of Geography. Email: adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie

City and County Council Members – Co-options and Changes since the 2014 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th July 2016 (with subsequent updates) The 2014 Local Elections resulted in the election of 949 City and County Councillors. Since that election, I have estimated that 129 of the successful candidates in these elections, or candidates who … Continue reading

Posted in Gender, Local Elections 2014 | Tagged , , | 6 Comments

Good poll for largest parties, but a bad one for the independents: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (3rd July 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 4th July 2016 After a series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls showed little in the way of movement in terms of support levels for different parties and groupings, the first Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll since the February 26th election shows some notable shifts … Continue reading

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Little change heading into the Summer Recess…: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (26th June 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 1st July 2016 The April and May Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls had shown Fianna Fail edging ahead of Fine Gael, but Fine Gael regains the initiative in the latest in the latest in the series of Sunday Times-Behaviour & … Continue reading

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US 2016 Presidential Election: National Polls say “Clear Clinton win”, State-level Polls say “Close Contest”

Adrian Kavanagh, 29th June 2016 (Updated 6th July 2016 – see bottom of post) As we head towards the 2016 US Presidential Election in November, there seems to be different messages coming from national-level and state-level opinion polls.

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Anti Austerity Alliance-People Before Profit Target Constituencies for the next General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 3rd June 2016 The earlier posts in this series have tried to identify potential target constituencies for the Green Party, for the Labour Party, for Sinn Fein, for Fianna Fail and for Fine Gael at the next general election based on … Continue reading

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Green Party Target Constituencies for the next General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2016 Following on earlier posts, which tried to identify potential target constituencies for the Labour Party, for Sinn Fein, for Fianna Fail and for Fine Gael at the next general election based on an analysis of … Continue reading

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Fianna Fail Target Constituencies for the next General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2016 Following on earlier posts, which tried to identify potential target constituencies for the Labour Party, for Sinn Fein and for Fine Gael at the next general election based on an analysis of the 2016 General … Continue reading

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Sinn Fein Target Constituencies for the next General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 30th May 2016 Following on earlier posts, which tried to identify potential target constituencies for the Labour Party and for Fine Gael at the next general election based on an analysis of the 2016 General Election constituency figures, this … Continue reading

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Fianna Fail draws level with Fine Gael: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (29th May 2016)

Adrian Kavanagh, 30th May 2016 The latest in the series of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion polls did not point to any dramatic changes in support levels since the previous such poll and indeed since the February 2016 election. Fianna Fail are seen … Continue reading

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Fine Gael Target Constituencies for the next General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 23rd May 2016 Following the previous post, which tried to identify potential target constituencies for the Labour Party at the next general election based on an analysis of the 2016 General Election constituency figures, this post will involve a similar analysis for … Continue reading

Posted in Election data, General Election, Target constituencies | Tagged , , , , , | 6 Comments