Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

Unknown's avatar

About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer at the Maynooth University Department of Geography. Email: adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie

Their Day Has Come – Sinn Fein’s surge: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (2nd November 2014)

Adrian Kavanagh, 2nd November 2014  The new Sunday Independent-Millward Brown poll (2nd November 2014), published on the day after large numbers of people take to the streets in protest against water charges, sees Sinn Fein move ahead of Fine Gael. Sinn Fein … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Independents Day again: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (26th October 2014)

Adrian Kavanagh, 25th October 2014  The latest Sunday Business Post-Red C poll (26th October 2014) suggests that the recent Budget has not amounted to any serious political gains for the government parties, a trend mirrored in the very similar support trends published … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Candidates for the 2016 General Election (by constituency)

Adrian Kavanagh – First posted on 22nd October 2014 – this post will be updated as and when new candidates are selected/declared  As confirmed on the morning of February 3rd 2016, the next general election will take place on Friday 26th … Continue reading

Posted in Candidates, Election boundaries, First-time candidates, Gender, General Election | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 34 Comments

Mixed fortunes for the Opposition parties! Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ispos MRBI opinion poll (9th October 2014)

Adrian Kavanagh, 9th October 2014  The results of the latest in the series of The Irish Times-Ispos MRBI polls was published today and this has been largely in line with those of the preceding Red C and Millward Brown polls, but this obviously does convey … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

By-election winners and losers, 1980-2014

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th October 2014 Reviewing the past three decades of by-election results shows that government parties have tended to fare poorly in by-election contests (although three of the last four by-elections have been won by government parties), but does certain parties … Continue reading

Posted in by-election, Candidates | Tagged | 2 Comments

Political Reform in Ireland and My Personal Electoral and Political Reform Agenda

Adrian Kavanagh, 29th September 2014 As this website reached the 500,000 views mark over the weekend, I have decided to make this by (again) revisiting my earlier post on what I would consider my political reform priorities to be. At … Continue reading

Posted in Gender, New Irish, Political Reform, Young candidates | 1 Comment

Fianna Fail’s Top Ten Problem/Promising Constituencies ahead of the next General Election

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2014 This is the second in a series of posts where I offer a geographical perspective on the state of play for the different parties at this point in time. Note – I stress at this … Continue reading

Posted in Constituency Commission, Election boundaries, General Election | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

TDs (31st Dáil Éireann) who will not be contesting the next general election

Adrian Kavanagh, 22nd September 2014 Following on a similar post that was completed ahead of the 2011 General Election, this post will list all of the Dail deputies who have retired/stepped down during the lifetime of the current Dail or who … Continue reading

Posted in Candidates, Election data, General Election, Retirements | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Mixed fortunes for the government parties: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (21st September 2014)

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th September 2014  Following last week’s Red C poll, the latest in the series of Millward Brown polls has brought mixed fortunes for the government parties. Labour sees a two percentage point increase in the party’s poll levels and Fine Gael … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Good news for Fine Gael and Sinn Fein: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C poll (14th September 2014)

Adrian Kavanagh, 13th September 2014 (still being updated!) The latest in the series of Red C polls has brought good news especially for Fine Gael and Sinn Fein. While Labour sees a one percentage point increase in the party’s poll levels, this … Continue reading

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments