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Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh
Estimating 2011 General Election seats levels using new Constituency Commission 2012 election boundaries
Adrian Kavanagh, 6th July 2012 Last month’s Constituency Commission report and the decision to reduce the number of Dail seats by 8 will have a profound impact on the result of, and the number of seats won by different parties at, the … Continue reading
Posted in Constituency Commission, Election boundaries, Election data, Tally figures
Tagged boundaries, Cork North Central, Donegal, Dublin Bay North, Dublin Central, Dublin North West, Dublin Rathdown, Dublin South Central, Dun Laoghaire, Galway East, Kerry, Kildare South, Laois, Offaly, Tipperary
56 Comments
Political impacts of the 2012 Constituency Commission report: 2011 General Election party support estimates and changing political landscapes in the new constituency areas
Adrian Kavanagh, 25th June 2012 The creation of new election boundaries for the next general election, associated with the reduction in the number of Dail seat numbers by eight, in the 2012 Constituency Commission report has fundamentally altered the rules … Continue reading
Posted in Constituency Commission, Constituency information, Election boundaries, Election data, Tally figures
Tagged 2012, boundaries, Cavan-Monaghan, Constituency size, Cork North Central, Cork North West, Cork South Central, Donegal, Dublin Bay North, Dublin Bay South, Dublin Central, Dublin Fingal, Dublin North West, Dublin Rathdown, Dublin South Central, Dublin South West, Dublin West, Dun Laoghaire, Galway East, Galway West, Kerry, Kildare North, Kildare South, Laois, Limerick, Limerick City, Mayo, Offaly, Roscommon-Galway, Sligo-Leitrim, Tipperary, Waterford
2 Comments
Constituency Commission Report 2012 – An Overview
Adrian Kavanagh, 22nd June 2012 The lead up to the next general election began with a vengeance yesterday with the publication of the Constituency Commission report, recommending new constituency boundaries for the next European and Dáil elections. The main driver … Continue reading
Some initial comments on 2012 Constituency Commision report
Adrian Kavanagh, 21st June 2012 The 2012 Constituency Commission report was published today and the level of changes in it are very dramatic and belie the generally conservative approach taken by the Commission in the previous two reports. There are … Continue reading
European Union Fiscal Stability Treaty referendum 30th May 2012: An Overview
Adrian Kavanagh, 2nd June The European Union Fiscal Stability Treaty referendum, held on 30th May 2012, was carried by a margin of 955,091 to 626,907, amounting to a percentage vote share of 60.37% for the Yes side. This was lower than … Continue reading
Posted in Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Referendum elections, Voter turnout
Tagged 2012, maps, referenda, voter turnout
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European Treaty referendum turnout levels in the Dublin City constituencies in the 2000s
Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2012 As polling in the European Fiscal Treaty referendum continues today, there is a lot of talk of low turnouts being recorded so far at different polling centres, so this would be an appropriate time to … Continue reading
Posted in Electoral Geography (voting maps), Referendum elections, Voter turnout
Tagged maps, referenda, voter turnout
2 Comments
Which constituencies have the highest Yes or No votes and turnouts? A geography of European Union referendum votes
Adrian Kavanagh, 31st May 2012 A study of the previous five referendum elections relating to European Union treaties (Amsterdam 1998, Nice 2001, Nice 2002, Lisbon 2008 and Lisbon 2009) reveals a remarkable constistency in terms of regional turnout and voting trends in … Continue reading
New general election boundaries with a 158-seat Dail Eireann: the likely scenarios
Adrian Kavanagh, 25th May 2012 Following on the publication of final/definitive population statistics for Census 2011 on March 29th, the Constituency Commission has been completing the task of drawing up a new general (and European) election boundary report. They have … Continue reading
Voter turnout in Dublin City in 2011 – a geographical perspective
Adrian Kavanagh, May 3rd 2012 The issue of voter turnout has largely disappeared from the Irish media and political commentariat’s attention over the past few years, with concerns over issues to do with low political participation levels, and indeed especially … Continue reading
Posted in Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Voter turnout
Tagged maps, voter turnout
7 Comments
Census 2011, general election constituencies and county boundaries
The focus of many submissions to Constituency Commissions has to do with concerns over existing, or potential, breaches of county boundaries in respect to the creation/changing of Dail constituency boundaries. This post here reviews the potential scenarios involving the different … Continue reading
Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses 