Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

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About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer at the Maynooth University Department of Geography. Email: adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie

Back to the Feb-ture?: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (27th November 2016)

Posted on November 28, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 28th November 2016 The November 2016 Red C opinion polls shows little in the way of changes in support levels since the previous Red C poll in October. The main change here sees Sinn Fein gaining a further three percentage points in terms of their … Continue reading →

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The 2016 US Presidential Election: Disproportionality, Bias and the Electoral College

Posted on November 18, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th November 2016 – latest update: 8th February 2017 As the dust settles following the conclusion of the 2016 USA Presidential Election campaign, there are two striking patterns, or trends, which point towards the high degree of disproportionality … Continue reading →

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AAA-PBP SBB ina Shuí?: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (30th October 2016)

Posted on November 1, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 1st November 2016 The latest in series of Red C opinion polls shows little change in support levels for the two largest parties in the wake of the recent Budget, with Fianna Fail support levels dropping by one percentage point, while … Continue reading →

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Heading towards a three-party, not a two-and-a-half party, system?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll (6th October 2016)

Posted on October 6, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th October 2016 After little change in party support levels had been evidenced in the wake of the February general election, a series of opinion polls in July 2016 (most notably the July Ipsos-MRBI poll) pointed to significant gains … Continue reading →

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As You Were More Or Less…: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (25th September 2016)

Posted on September 26, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th September 2016 After little change in party support levels had been evidenced in the wake of the February general election, a series of opinion polls in July 2016 pointed to significant gains in support for Fianna Fail, pushing … Continue reading →

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Larger parties lose some ground to Sinn Fein: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (18th September 2016)

Posted on September 21, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 21st September 2016 The 18th September Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll shows  Fianna Fail still holding the position of the most popular political party in the state,  standing some five percentage points ahead of Fine Gael. However, the two … Continue reading →

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Fianna Fail surge confirmed: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Business Post-Red C and Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls (18th July 2016)

Posted on July 18, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th July 2016 (Updated: 30th July 2016) The July 7th  Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll had shown the most dramatic movement in political party support levels since the February 26th General Election, pointing to a notable increase in support for Fianna Fail, … Continue reading →

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Census 2016 Preliminary Population Figures – What these mean for 2016/17 Constituency Commission review

Posted on July 14, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 14th July 2016 The preliminary population by area Census 2016 figures were published earlier today (at 11 am), showing a population level within the state of 4,757,976, marking a notable increase (of 169,724) on the 4,588,252 population level … Continue reading →

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Census 2016 Provisional Figures and the Revising/Redrawing of Constituency Boundaries

Posted on July 8, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 8th July 2016 The publication of provisional Census 2016 figures on Thursday 14th July 2016 means that a process of revising and redrawing constituency boundaries for general and European elections will commence, after a new Constituency Commission is established. … Continue reading →

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The Noughties Coming Back as Fianna Fail surge?: Constituency-level analysis of Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (7th July 2016)

Posted on July 7, 2016 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th July 2016 You wait months for an opinion poll to show significant changes in party/grouping support levels and then, like Dublin Bus, two of them come at once! The series of Red C and Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls carried out in the … Continue reading →

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