City and County Councillors who will be stepping down at (not contesting) the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh 18th October 2018

This post lists all of the City/County Councillors who will be retiring at the May 24th 2019 Local Elections – as opposed to the version of this post for 2014 elections, it will not list the names of Councillors who retired/stood down at an earlier date (and who have by this stage been replaced by a co-option from their party or group) as this information is covered in another, earlier post. This list will only include the names of incumbents who contested Local Elections 2019 selection conventions for their political parties and failed to win nominations at these if these Councillors subsequently announce their retirements after such convention defeats.  Continue reading

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Fine Gael candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, First posted 17th October 2018, with updates as new candidate nominations announced. Any links in this post are to online announcements of candidate selections – there will be no specific links to candidate webpages.

The fourth of my series of rolling blog posts, in which I detail the latest information as to candidate selections relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping). The rule of thumb here is that I will add party candidates in most cases only after they have been officially selected to run for the party at a selection convention or by some other means of candidate selection. I try my best to find information about local election candidate selection conventions. However, in some cases this information is hard to find and occasionally it can be some time after a convention takes place before I find this information and hence am in a position to update this page accordingly.

The post will focus on Fine Gael candidate selections ahead of the 2019 City and County Council elections. 

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Female candidates contesting the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018 – post updated as and when new female candidates are added/female candidates withdraw.

314 female candidates contested the 2009 City and County Council elections, accounting for 17.2% of the total number of candidates. 440 female candidates contested the 2014 City and County Council elections, accounting for 21.6% of the total number of candidates contesting those elections.

For the 2019 elections, given that gender quotas were introduced the 2016 General Election, the expectation might be that even more female candidates will be contesting these City and County Council elections. Against that, the likely impact of smaller constituency units (with fewer seats per constituency) for the 2019 elections (relative to the 2014 contests) may act as a disincentive to new, female, candidates, or may limit the number of candidates being selected by political parties at selection conventions, thus preventing a number of new, female, candidates from getting onto party tickets.

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“The Younger Ones”: 2019 Local Elections candidates aged between 18 and 35

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018

In a similar vein to earlier posts relating to the younger 2011 General Election candidates, 2014 Local Election candidates and 2016 General Election candidates, this page seeks to list the names, and party affiliations, of all the 2019 Local Elections candidates whose ages will still fall in the 18-35 years age category at the time that the 2019 elections take place (24th May 2019).

Candidates whose ages fall in the 18-30 years category will be denoted by a * beside their names.

Please note that this is likely to prove to be an incomplete list of the names of the younger local election candidates, mainly due to the difficulties faced in terms of accessing accurate age information for candidates in a large number of cases. Given the large number of candidates involved at local elections and the difficulties involved in getting age details for some candidates, the likelihood is that I will miss out on some names that should be included here but I will do my best to ensure this list is as accurate as possible.

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The 2011 Presidential Election: A Geographical Overview

Adrian Kavanagh, 11th October 2018

There is always a “geography” to electoral support and turnout patterns and this was very much the case with the 2011 Presidential Election. This post will briefly review the geography of candidate support and voter turnout at this contest, with a look ahead to the upcoming presidential election contest on 26th October 2018. Continue reading

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“Time to go?”: Mixed messages across recent opinion polls, but Fine Gael still holds strong. Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI (16th October) poll and other Autumn 2018 polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018

As the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Bill 2017 was officially passed into law just before Christmas 2017, the new Constituency Commission electoral boundaries are now used as the basis for the analysis. The translation of 2016 support figures onto these new constituency units is not a perfect one, alas, given the lack of tally figures in some cases (e.g. Laois, Offaly and Kildare constituencies) or the lack of time to carry out the necessary background analyses in other cases (e.g. constituencies in the West and North West). Where it has been possible to take account of tally figures, the constituency support estimates are based on the votes cast in the new constituency units in those cases.

Slide1

The early opinion polls in 2018 offered very good news for Fine Gael. The party has dropped back somewhat in some of the opinion polls carried out across the Summer and Autumn of 2018, but Fine Gael still remains the strongest party in the state by a distance of a number of percentage points over Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin, although the extent of the Fine Gael lead over Fianna Fáil varies notably between polls, as also does the estimate of the Sinn Féin support level. Tat being said, the combined vote Fine Gael/Fianna Fáil vote share across all of these polls has generally averaged out around the 60% level. This, admittedly, represents a lower support level than the combined vote levels commanded by these parties before the onset of the Economic Crisis in 2008, but these poll figures seem to mark another stage in the recovery of the “Civil War” parties, given that the two parties won less than half of the votes cast nationally at the 2016 General Election. Is the old “Civil War” politics model on the way back? Maybe, maybe not… However, it must be noted that when the other “Civil War” party, Sinn Féin, is factored in the combined support levels for the “Civil War parties” comes in at 82% in the latest Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll – up by around eighteen percent on the combined support levels won by these three parties at the 2016 election. As the larger parties advance, the smaller parties and Independents all fall back, while the Labour Party support levels have tended to remain lower (especially in certain polls) than the already very low levels of support won by that party at the 2016 General Election.   Continue reading

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Non Party/Independent candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh,  First posted 9th October 2018, with updates to follow as I become aware of new candidate declarations. 

This is the latest in my series of rolling blog posts, in which I detail the latest information as to candidate selections relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping) ahead of the 2019 City and County Council elections. This post will focus on non-party/independent candidates.Back in June 2014, the non-party/independents grouping accounted for one hundred and ninety four City/County Councillors, following on a very successful set of election contests for non-party candidates at the 2014 Local Elections. Due to various defections to the non-party ranks from different political parties over the following months and years, the number of Independent/Non-Party City/County Councillors (as of 12th March 2018) has climbed to two hundred and fourteen, according to my best estimates.

As of now (17th April 2019), there are two hundred and fifty six non party/independent candidates listed here (one of the listed candidates will be contesting two electoral areas).

Fifty two of these candidates are women (20.3%) and two hundred and four (79.7%) are men.

(The relatively low number of candidates listed here, as of now, merely reflects the fact that information about non party/independent candidate declarations can often be very hard to find, especially as there is no formal selection convention process involved here. In a large number of cases, information about some independent/non party candidate declarations may only emerge after the formal period of candidate nominations has closed and the official candidate lists for the different electoral areas been drawn up.)

One hundred and thirteen (44.1%) of these declared non-party candidates are currently incumbents (City/County Council members). 44.6% of male Independent local election candidates are incumbents, as opposed to 42.3% of female Independent candidates. At least sixteen (6.3%) other candidates have previously held some form of electoral office.

The non party/independent candidates who are contesting these elections include the following people (Please note that, as in the other similar posts, any links that are provided here are to posts/newspaper reports offering “evidence” of their candidatures and will normally not link back to candidate websites.):

Electoral
Area
Independent/Non-Party candidate
Carlow
CarlowCllr. John Cassin
TullowBilly Nolan
Muinebeag
Cavan
Bailieborough-Cootehill
Ballyjamesduff
Cavan-BelturbertBrendan Fay
Clare
EnnisAmanda Major, Dermot Hayes, Alfonso D’Auria,
Frank Cullinan
Killaloe
ShannonCllr. Gerry Flynn, Cllr. PJ Ryan, Cllr. Michael Begley
Ennistimon
KilrushCllr. Ian Lynch
Cork
County
CarrigalineBen Dalton O’Sullivan
Bandon-Kinsale
Macroom
CobhSeán O’Connor, Karen Doyle Independent4Change,
Peter Kidney
Midleton
Fermoy
Kanturk
Mallow
BantryCllr. Danny Collins, Finbarr Harrington
Clonakilty-
Skibbereen
Cllr. Declan Hurley
Cork City
Cork City
North East
Sean O’Sullivan, Cllr. Ger Keohane
Cork City
North West
Joe O’Callaghan
Cork City South CentralCllr. Paudie Dineen, Lekha Menon Margassery,
Sean Cronin
Cork City South EastCllr. Kieran McCarthy
Cork City South WestCllr. Thomas Moloney
Donegal
DonegalValerie McNulty, Cllr. Tom Conaghan,
Cllr. Seamus Maguire, Billy Grimes,
Diarmaid Doherty, Justin Coughlin,
Cllr. Niamh Kennedy, Sean O’Beirne
GlentiesCllr. Micheál Cholm MacGiolla Easbuig, Brian Carr,
Liam Whyte
MilfordCllr. Ian McGarvey, Cllr. John O’Donnell,
Declan Meehan, Charlie McGinley
BuncranaSinéad Stewart
LetterkennyCllr. Michael McBride, Cathal MacFhloinn, Finnian O’Donnell, Thoiba Ahmed, Kevin Bradley
Carndonagh
Lifford-StranorlarAlan McMenamin
Dublin City
Ballyfermot-DrimnaghCllr. Vincent Jackson, Richard Murray,
Nicky Uzell Independent4Change
Ballymun-FinglasCllr. Noeleen Reilly
Artane-WhitehallCllr. John Lyons
DonaghmedeNiamh McDonald
Cabra-
Glasnevin
Cllr. Cieran Perry,
Micheál Kelliher Independents4Change,
Stephen O’Loughlin, Sean McCabe
ClontarfCllr. Damian O Farrell
Kimmage-RathminesSamantha Long, Sarah Lipsett, Cllr. Ruari McGinley
North Inner CityCllr. Christy Burke, Anthony Flynn, Neil Armstrong,
Marius Marosan
South West
Inner City
South East
Inner City
Cllr. Sonya Stapleton Independents4Change
Pembroke
Dún
Laoghaire-
Rathdown
Blackrock
Dún
Laoghaire
Cllr. Michael Merrigan
DundrumCllr. Anne Colgan
Glencullen-Sandyford
Killiney-Shankill
StillorganGearóid O Keeffe
Fingal
County
Balbriggan
Rush LuskRoslyn Fuller, Eóin Corcoran
Castleknock
Howth-MalahideCllr. Jimmy Guerin
Blanchardstown-Mulhuddart
Marius Marosan
OngarRaghu Narayanam
SwordsIan Croft, Dean Mulligan Independent4Change
Derek Cryan, James Fitzpatrick
South
Dublin
County
ClondalkinCllr. Francis Timmons, Shakeel Jeeroburkan
Palmerstown-FonthillAlan Hayes
LucanCllr. Liona O’Toole
Tallaght CentralCllr. Mick Duff
Tallaght South
Rathfarnham-TempleogueCllr. Ronan McMahon
Firhouse-BohernabreenaAlan Edge
Galway City
Galway City Central
Cllr. Colette Connolly, Cllr. Mike Cubbard,
Mike Geraghty
Galway City EastCllr. Noel Larkin, Cllr. Declan McDonnell, Cllr. Terry O’Flaherty
Galway City West
Galway County
Athenry-
Oranmore
Cllr. James Charity, Cllr. Gabe Cronnelly,
Cllr. Jim Cuddy, Josette Farrell
Gort
Kinvara
BallinasloeDeclan Geraghty, Harriet Bruce
Conamara
North
Josie Conneely
Conamara
South
LoughreaEoin Madden
TuamCllr. Karey McHugh, Cllr. Shaun Cunniffe,
Cllr. Billy Conneelly
Kerry
KillarneyCllr. Maura Healy-Rae, Cllr. Michael Gleeson KIA, Cllr. Brendan Cronin, Cllr. Donal Grady, Neily O’Connor,
Niall Botty O’Callaghan
ListowelMichael Pixie O’Gorman,
An DaingeanDavid Russell
KenmareCllr. Johnny Healy-Rae, Cllr. Dan McCarthy
CastleislandJackie Healy-Rae Junior, Charlie Farrelly
TraleeCllr. Sam Locke, Yvonne Dineen
Kildare
Athy
CelbridgeCllr. Brendan Young
Leixlip
Maynooth
Clane
KildareDeclan Crowe
Newbridge
NaasCllr. Sorcha O’Neill
Kilkenny
Castlecomer
KilkennyTrish Finegan, Cllr. Breda Gardner, Luke O’Connor,
Paul Brophy, Eugene McGuinness
Callan-Thomastown
PiltownCllr. Melissa O’Neill
Laois
Borris in
Ossory-
Mountmellick
Cllr. James Kelly, Cllr. Brendan Phelan,
Oliver Clooney, Ger Hogan, Brian Furlong
Graiguecullen-PortarlingtonCllr. Ben Brennan
PortlaoiseNaeem Iqbal, Rotimi Adebari, Tom Duffy
Leitrim
BallinamoreCllr. Gerry Dolan, Sean Wynne
Carrick-on-ShannonCllr. Enda Stenson, Cllr. Des Guckian,
Yvonne Hollidge
, Sean Wynne
ManorhamiltonCllr. Felim Gurn, Thomas Kelly, Jamie Murphy
Limerick
Limerick
City East
Limerick
City North
Cllr. Frankie Daly
Limerick
City West
Cllr. John Loftus, Mark Carey, Cathal McCarthy
Adare-
Rathkeale
Cllr. Emmett O’Brien, Cllr. Richard O’Donoghue
Cappamore-Kilmallock
Newcastle WestChristy Kelly
Longford
BallymahonTony Moran
GranardTurlough McGovern, Grace Kearney
LongfordCllr. Mae Sexton, Cllr. Gerry Warnock, Julia O’Reilly,
Tony Reilly, Seamus Gallagher, George Breaden
Louth
ArdeeHugh D Conlon, Enda Murray
Drogheda UrbanCllr. Kevin Callan, Paddy McQuillan
Drogheda RuralCllr. Kevin Callan
Dundalk-Carlingford
Dundalk-SouthOliver Morgan
Mayo
BallinaCllr. Seamus Weir, Mark Duffy, Willie Nolan
CastlebarHarry Barrett
ClaremorrisCllr. Richard Finn
SwinfordSean Forkin
Belmullet
WestportCllr. Christy Hyland, Darragh McGee, John O’Malley,
Frank McAlonan
Meath
AshbourneCllr. Joe Bonner, Cllr. Sharon Keogan
KellsCllr. David Gilroy
Laytown-BettystownCllr. Sharon Keogan, Cllr. Tom Kelly
NavanCllr. Francis Deane, Cllr. Wayne Forde, Alan Lawes
RatoathCllr. Brian Fitzgerald, Cllr. Nick Killian,
Fergus O’Riordan, Cllr. Gillian Toole
Trim
Monaghan
Ballybay-
Clones
Cllr. Hughie McElvaney
Carrickmacross-Castleblaney
MonaghanTommy Hagan
Offaly
BirrCllr. John Carroll, Joe Wynne
EdenderryCllr. John Foley
TullamoreSean O’Brien
Roscommon
Athlone (Roscommon)Cllr. Ivan Connaughton, Cllr. Tony Ward,
Cllr. Laurence Fallon, Donal Kilduff
BoyleCllr. Valerie Byrne HAC, Tom Crosby, Sajjad Hussain
RoscommonCllr. Kathleen Shanagher, Cllr. Nigel Dineen,
Cllr. Domnick Connolly, Gerry O’Boyle, Tony Waldron
Sligo
Ballymote-
Tobercurry
Cllr. Joe Queenan, Cllr. Michael Clarke,
Barry Gallagher
Sligo-DrumcliffCllr. Marie Casserly, Corey Whyte, Amanda Gallagher
Sligo-StrandhillCllr. Declan Bree
Tipperary
Carrick-on-Suir
Cahir
Cashel-
Tipperary
Annemarie Ryan March4Tipp, Lisa Flynn March4Tipp, Barry Walsh March4Tipp
Clonmel
NenaghCllr. Seamus Morris,
Cllr. Michael O’Meara (LT – “Lowry Team”)
NewportJohn “Rocky” McGrath (LT)
Roscrea-TemplemoreCllr. Eddie Moran (LT), Shane Lee (LT),
Tommy Murphy,
ThurlesCllr. David Doran, Cllr. Michael Lowry (LT),
Tommy Barrett
Waterford
Waterford
City East
Waterford
City South
Andrew Power, Claire Cullen-Delsol, Donal Barry
Tramore-Waterford City WestBrendan Byrne
Portlaw-KilmacthomasAnn Troy, Dolores Whelan
Dungarvan
Lismore
Westmeath
Athlone
(Westmeath)
Cllr. Paul Hogan (Boxer’s Independent Team – BIT),
Cllr. Michael O’Brien (BIT), Jamie Moran (BIT)
Moate
MullingarCllr. Mick Dollard, Cllr. Úna D’Arcy
Kinnegad
Wexford
GoreyJimmy Fleming
Kilmuck-
ridge
Cllr. Mary Farrell
EnniscorthyCllr. John O’Rourke, Jackser Owens,
Annette Byrne-Moran Independents4Change,
John “Texas” Byrne
New RossCllr. Anthony Connick, John Dwyer, Pat Barden,
Aidan Quigley
KilmoreCllr. Ger Carthy, Jane Johnstone Independents4Change
WexfordCllr. David Hynes, Leonard Kelly
Wicklow
ArklowCllr. Mary McDonald, Miriam Murphy, Tommy Breen
Baltinglass
Bray East
Bray WestCllr. Joe Behan, Rory O’Connor
GreystonesCllr. Tom Fortune, Mags Crean
WicklowAnna Doyle, Cllr. Mary Kavanagh

I will be adding to this list as and when I come across further declarations of intentions to contest these elections on the part of other non-party candidates. This cohort of candidates often tends to be the hardest to glean information on, so this list may not be as up to date/accurate as the similar posts for the different parties.

An article by Siún Lennon on the Laois Today website (5th November 2018) reported that Cllrs. James Kelly and Ben Brennan both intend to contest the 2019 Local elections.

Corey Whyte will contest the election in Sligo-Drumcliff, as reported in the Sligo Champion (11th December 2018). As reported in the Tuam Herald (14th December 2018), Cllr. James Charity has confirmed his intention to contest the next local elections in Athenry-Oranmore. Cllr. Gabe Cronnelly, as reported in the Galway Advertiser (3rd January 2019), has also announced his intention to contest that same electoral area. As reported by the Donegal Democrat (13th December 2018), Cllr. Tom Conaghan (of Donegal Town) announced his intention to contest the next local elections.

An Evening Echo (12th December 2018) report noted that Cllr. Ger Keohane – elected in Cobh for Sinn Féin in 2014 – will be contesting the Cork City North East electoral area.

The Donegal Democrat (10th January) has reported that Brian Carr, who previously contested the 2014 elections, “is set to contest the upcoming elections”.

As reported on the Radio Kerry website (13th January 2018), David Russell, who works closely with Deputy Michael Healy-Rae, will contest the An Daingean electoral area.

As reported on the Midlands 103 website (14th January 2019), Cllr. Mick Dollard announced in January 2019 that he was leaving the Labour Party and would be contesting the next local elections as an independent candidate.

Former Councillor, John Dwyer, has announced his intention to try and regain his seat in the New Ross electoral area, as reported in the new Ross Standard (12th January 2019).

As reported on the Drogheda Life website (16th January 2019), Cllr. Kevin Callan has announced his intention to contest both the Drogheda Rural and Drogheda Urban electoral areas.

Yvonne Hollidge will be contesting the Carrick on Shannon electoral area as a non-party candidate, as reported in the Leitrim Observer (29th January 2019).

As reported in the Donegal Democrat (7th February 2019), former Fianna Fáil Ballyshannon Town Councillor, Billy Grimes, will be contesting the Donegal (Town) electoral area as an independent candidate. That edition of the Donegal Democrat also reports that former Bundoran Town Councillor, Diarmaid Doherty, will also be contesting the Donegal electoral area as a non-party candidate.

TJ Hogan announced he was going to contest the Cork City North West electoral area in December 2018, but later withdrew from the contest on personal reasons, as reported on the Evening Echo website.

Cllr. Margaret Gormley has announced her intention to contest Ballymore-Tobercurry again, but she sadly passed away on 4th April 2019.

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