Tag Archives: boundaries

Predicting 2014 Local Election seat numbers on the basis of national opinion polls employing a constituency-level analysis

Adrian Kavanagh, 23 July 2013  This post will attempt to ascertain what different political parties/groupings’ seat levels might be following next year’s City and County Council elections on the basis of national support figures associated with recent opinion polls, along … Continue reading

Posted in Election boundaries, Local Elections 2014, opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Blood in the Water?: How patterns of local representation match up with new local election boundaries – an overview

Adrian Kavanagh, 25th June 2013 The previous series of posts have reviewed in details how the new local election boundaries, as drawn up in the 2013 Local Electoral Area Boundary Committee Report, relate to the home bases of the current array … Continue reading

Posted in Candidates, Connacht-Ulster, Dublin, Election boundaries, Election data, Electoral Geography (voting maps), Gender, Leinster, local elections, Local Elections 2014, Munster | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

How do Borough and Town Councillors bases match up with new local election constituencies?

Adrian Kavanagh, 24 June 2013 The previous series of posts have looked at how the homes bases of sitting County and City match up against the new local election constituency boundaries, with this analysis finding that there are some local … Continue reading

Posted in Election data, local elections | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Some thoughts on “Local Electoral Area Boundary Committee Report 2013”

Adrian Kavanagh, 30th May 2013 Thursday 30th May 2013 saw the publication of the Local Electoral Area Boundary Committee Report 2013, which outlines the constituency boundaries for next year’s local elections (May 2014).  The committee faced a very difficult task, in fairness, given … Continue reading

Posted in Election boundaries, local elections, Local Elections 2014 | Tagged , | 5 Comments

Estimating 2011 General Election seats levels using new Constituency Commission 2012 election boundaries

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th July 2012 Last month’s Constituency Commission report and the decision to reduce the number of Dail seats by 8 will have a profound impact on the result of, and the number of seats won by different parties at, the … Continue reading

Posted in Constituency Commission, Election boundaries, Election data, Tally figures | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 56 Comments

Political impacts of the 2012 Constituency Commission report: 2011 General Election party support estimates and changing political landscapes in the new constituency areas

Adrian Kavanagh, 25th June 2012  The creation of new election boundaries for the next general election, associated with the reduction in the number of Dail seat numbers by eight, in the 2012 Constituency Commission report has fundamentally altered the rules … Continue reading

Posted in Constituency Commission, Constituency information, Election boundaries, Election data, Tally figures | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Constituency Commission Report 2012 – An Overview

Adrian Kavanagh, 22nd June 2012 The lead up to the next general election began with a vengeance yesterday with the publication of the Constituency Commission report, recommending new constituency boundaries for the next European and Dáil elections. The main driver … Continue reading

Posted in Census2011 definitive figures, Constituency Commission, Constituency information, Election boundaries, Gender | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment