Tag Archives: Independents

Mixed fortunes for the Opposition parties! Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ispos MRBI opinion poll (9th October 2014)

Posted on October 9, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 9th October 2014  The results of the latest in the series of The Irish Times-Ispos MRBI polls was published today and this has been largely in line with those of the preceding Red C and Millward Brown polls, but this obviously does convey … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

TDs (31st Dáil Éireann) who will not be contesting the next general election

Posted on September 22, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 22nd September 2014 Following on a similar post that was completed ahead of the 2011 General Election, this post will list all of the Dail deputies who have retired/stepped down during the lifetime of the current Dail or who … Continue reading →

Posted in Candidates, Election data, General Election, Retirements | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Mixed fortunes for the government parties: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (21st September 2014)

Posted on September 20, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th September 2014  Following last week’s Red C poll, the latest in the series of Millward Brown polls has brought mixed fortunes for the government parties. Labour sees a two percentage point increase in the party’s poll levels and Fine Gael … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Good news for Fine Gael and Sinn Fein: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C poll (14th September 2014)

Posted on September 13, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 13th September 2014 (still being updated!) The latest in the series of Red C polls has brought good news especially for Fine Gael and Sinn Fein. While Labour sees a one percentage point increase in the party’s poll levels, this … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

“When the hurly-burly’s done…”: Constituency-level analyses of the post-Local and European elections opinion polls

Posted on August 16, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 12th June 2014 (with subsequent updates) The local and European elections brought a (probably quite welcome!) respite to the spate of opinion polls that had appeared in the run up to the May 23rd electoral contests, but June … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Love’s Labour Not Entirely Lost?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes poll (17th August 2014)

Posted on August 16, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th August 2014  The latest in the series of Behaviour & Attitudes polls has brought good news for the Labour Party after a long period of dismal results in previous such opinion polls. The Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes poll of August 16th 2014, … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Which parties/groupings control the City and County Councils?

Posted on June 23, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 23rd June 2014 A month has now passed since the holding of the 2014 Local and European elections and the spoils of victory have now been fought over and divided in most cases (although the first meeting of … Continue reading →

Posted in Local Elections 2014 | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

(Non) Party On? A review of the electoral performance of Independent candidates on May 23rd

Posted on June 11, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 11th June 2014 The May 23rd elections were always going to be good elections for the Non Party/Independent candidates grouping.

Posted in Local Elections 2014 | Tagged , | Leave a comment

General Election results simulated on the basis of 2014 Local Election vote patterns

Posted on May 27, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 27th May 2014 What would the results of the next general election look like if people voted exactly the same way as they did in Friday’s local elections?

Posted in Local Elections 2014 | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

2014 Local Election seat estimates based on a constituency-level analysis of RTE Exit Polll

Posted on May 24, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 24 May 2014 This post attempts to ascertain what the different political parties/groupings’ seat levels might for the City and County Council elections on the basis of the RTE Exit Poll support figures, along the lines of similar analyses on The Irish Political … Continue reading →

Posted in Election boundaries, Local Elections 2014, opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment