Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

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About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer at the Maynooth University Department of Geography. Email: adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie

Independents and Others still to the fore: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (18th October 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 17th October 2015  Going somewhat against the grain of the latest Red C and Ipsos MRBI, the latest Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll sees a three percentage point drop in support levels for Fine Gael, although coalition partners, Labour, enjoy a two … Continue reading

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November election looking less likely?: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (24th September 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 24th September 2015  Today sees the third in the series of Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion polls for 2015, with this being the first such poll held for a number of months – since the May 18th poll (held before the … Continue reading

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Government Red-y to Return?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (13th September 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 12th September 2015  The last Red C opinion poll in late July had brought mixed messages for the government parties, but the message from this latest poll for Fine Gael and Labour is undeniably positive. Fine Gael has regained the ground that … Continue reading

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Summer Labour brings no profit: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (16th August 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 15th August 2015  Tomorrow sees another poll in the monthly series of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls. There are mixed messages for the government parties in this opinion poll. After a series of poor results in the July opinion polls, Fine … Continue reading

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Dail constituency support estimates: Combining 2014 Local Election results and Opinion Poll-generated support estimates

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th August 2015 As you may know, I try to regularly carry out what I term a constituency-level analysis of opinion poll figures, as and when these are released, to try and decipher what these might mean in … Continue reading

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Autumnal Blues for Fine Gael?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion polls (2nd August 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 1st August 2015  Sunday sees the publication of a new Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll. Following a series of improving fortunes in opinion polls for the party in the first half of 2015, Fine Gael lose some significant grouping … Continue reading

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Swings and Roundabouts: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion polls (26th July 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 25th July 2015  Last month’s Red C opinion poll saw gains for Fine Gael and Fianna Fail at the expense of Labour and Sinn Fein, but these two parties lose ground in this month’s poll to the Independent and Others … Continue reading

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Independents and Others surge anew: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (19th July 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 18th July 2015  Tomorrow sees the latest in monthly series of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls. The notable trend here sees some notable gains for the Independents and Others grouping, mainly at the expense of the expense of the two … Continue reading

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Good weekend for Fine Gael and Fianna Fail: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C and Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion polls (28th June 2015)

Adrian Kavanagh, 29th June 2015  Yesterday (Sunday) saw the publication of two new opinion polls; including the latest in monthly series of Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion polls, while a new Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll was also published. Following a good opinion … Continue reading

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Poll Toppers at the 2014 Local (City and County Council) Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, 26th June 2015 In the lead up to, and in the immediate aftermath of, the 2011 General Election, I produced a post reviewing the poll toppers in each of the different constituencies at the 2007 General Election and their … Continue reading

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