Author Archives: Adrian Kavanagh

Unknown's avatar

About Adrian Kavanagh

Lecturer at the Maynooth University Department of Geography. Email: adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie

Sinn Fein feeling the love on Valentines Day. Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (15th February 2015)

Posted on February 14, 2015 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 14th February 2015  The latest in the series of Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion polls brings slightly better news for the government parties but very good news for Sinn Fein, who find themselves estimated to be the political party with the … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Where could Fine Gael run female candidates at the next general election?

Posted on January 16, 2015 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th January 2015 Following yesterday’s post on the situation with Fianna Fail, this post will consider the case of Fine Gael in relation to the candidate selection decisions that party needs to make in order to meet the requirements … Continue reading →

Posted in Candidates, Gender, General Election | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Where could Fianna Fail run female candidates at the next general election, in response to the party’s Markiewicz Report:

Posted on January 15, 2015 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 15th January 2015 (updated: 23rd June 2015) January 15th 2015 saw the publication of the Markievicz Commission Report, which set out targets for Fianna Fail to reach in order to meet the requirements set by the gender quota legislation. … Continue reading →

Posted in Candidates, Gender, General Election | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The Empire strikes back?: Constituency-level analysis of the Paddy Power-Red C (14th January 2015) and Sunday Business Post-Red C (25th January 2015) opinion polls.

Posted on January 14, 2015 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 14th January 2015  After a series of very poor polls for these parties in the dying months of 2014, the latest Paddy Power-Red C poll (14th January 2014) and the subsequent Sunday Business Post-Red C poll (25th January 2015) both pointed towards … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Introduction of the gender quota and challenges for political parties

Posted on January 6, 2015 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 6th January 2015  The passing of gender quota legislation by Dail Eireann in July 2012 has linked the state funding of political parties to a requirement that female (and male) candidates will account for at least 30% of … Continue reading →

Posted in Gender, General Election | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Shortest day and longest night for Labour. Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes, Sunday Independent-Millward Brown and Sunday Business Post-Red C polls (21st December 2014)

Posted on December 20, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 20th December 2014  Tomorrow’s Sunday Business-Red C, Sunday Independent-Millward Brown and Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes poll results largely reflects the figures in the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll from earlier this month and indeed most recent polls. Trends in these polls have suggested that … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Independents Day again but disaster for the government parties. Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI opinion poll (4th December 2014)

Posted on December 4, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 4th December 2014  There are obvious winners – the Independents and Others grouping – and losers – the government parties – in today’s Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll. Recent polls, including the latest Sunday Business Post-Red C poll (22nd November 2014), were … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Confirmed candidates for the Carlow-Kilkenny by-election

Posted on December 3, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 3rd December 2014 (regularly updated) Following the appointment of Phil Hogan as Ireland’s EU Commissioner, a vacancy has arisen in the Carlow-Kilkenny constituency. A by-election for this constituency will take place on 22nd May 2015, with the writ being moved for … Continue reading →

Posted in by-election, Candidates, Gender | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

How low can it go for the three main parties? Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll (22nd November 2014)

Posted on November 22, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 25th October 2014  The latest Sunday Business Post-Red C poll (22nd November 2014) suggests that the political effects of the recent events surrounding Irish Water have acted mainly to the advantage of the Independents and Others grouping and also … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Their Day Has Come – Sinn Fein’s surge: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday Independent-Millward Brown opinion poll (2nd November 2014)

Posted on November 1, 2014 by Adrian Kavanagh

Adrian Kavanagh, 2nd November 2014  The new Sunday Independent-Millward Brown poll (2nd November 2014), published on the day after large numbers of people take to the streets in protest against water charges, sees Sinn Fein move ahead of Fine Gael. Sinn Fein … Continue reading →

Posted in opinion polls | Tagged , , , , , , | 4 Comments