“Time to go?”: Mixed messages across recent opinion polls, but Fine Gael still holds strong. Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI (16th October) poll and other Autumn 2018 polls

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th October 2018

As the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Bill 2017 was officially passed into law just before Christmas 2017, the new Constituency Commission electoral boundaries are now used as the basis for the analysis. The translation of 2016 support figures onto these new constituency units is not a perfect one, alas, given the lack of tally figures in some cases (e.g. Laois, Offaly and Kildare constituencies) or the lack of time to carry out the necessary background analyses in other cases (e.g. constituencies in the West and North West). Where it has been possible to take account of tally figures, the constituency support estimates are based on the votes cast in the new constituency units in those cases.

Slide1

The early opinion polls in 2018 offered very good news for Fine Gael. The party has dropped back somewhat in some of the opinion polls carried out across the Summer and Autumn of 2018, but Fine Gael still remains the strongest party in the state by a distance of a number of percentage points over Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin, although the extent of the Fine Gael lead over Fianna Fáil varies notably between polls, as also does the estimate of the Sinn Féin support level. Tat being said, the combined vote Fine Gael/Fianna Fáil vote share across all of these polls has generally averaged out around the 60% level. This, admittedly, represents a lower support level than the combined vote levels commanded by these parties before the onset of the Economic Crisis in 2008, but these poll figures seem to mark another stage in the recovery of the “Civil War” parties, given that the two parties won less than half of the votes cast nationally at the 2016 General Election. Is the old “Civil War” politics model on the way back? Maybe, maybe not… However, it must be noted that when the other “Civil War” party, Sinn Féin, is factored in the combined support levels for the “Civil War parties” comes in at 82% in the latest Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI poll – up by around eighteen percent on the combined support levels won by these three parties at the 2016 election. As the larger parties advance, the smaller parties and Independents all fall back, while the Labour Party support levels have tended to remain lower (especially in certain polls) than the already very low levels of support won by that party at the 2016 General Election.   Continue reading

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Non Party/Independent candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh,  First posted 9th October 2018, with updates to follow as I become aware of new candidate declarations. 

This is the latest in my series of rolling blog posts, in which I detail the latest information as to candidate selections relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping) ahead of the 2019 City and County Council elections. This post will focus on non-party/independent candidates. Back in June 2014, the non-party/independents grouping accounted for one hundred and ninety four City/County Councillors, following on a very successful set of election contests for non-party candidates at the 2014 Local Elections. Due to various defections to the non-party ranks from different political parties over the following months and years, the number of Independent/Non-Party City/County Councillors (as of 26th April 2019) has climbed to two hundred and thirteen, according to my best estimates.

As of now (7th June 2019), there are four hundred and ninety seven non party/independent candidates listed here (a number of the listed candidates contested two electoral areas).

Ninety six of these candidates are women (19.3%) and four hundred and one (80.7%) are men.

This list includes fourteen Indepdendent4Change candidates – eight (57.1%) of these candidates are female (Cllr. Ruth Nolan is contesting two electoral areas).

(The relatively low number of candidates listed here up until the updated posts in early May 2019 merely reflected the fact that information about non party/independent candidate declarations can often be very hard to find, especially as there is no formal selection convention process involved here. In a large number of cases, information about some independent/non party candidate declarations may only emerge after the formal period of candidate nominations has closed and the official candidate lists for the different electoral areas been drawn up.)

One hundred and seventy seven (35.7%) of these declared non-party candidates are currently incumbents (City/County Council members). 35.0% of male Independent local election candidates are incumbents, as opposed to 38.5% of female Independent candidates. At least twenty two (4.4%) other candidates have previously held some form of electoral office.

The non party/independent candidates who are contesting these elections include the following people (Please note that, as in the other similar posts, any links that are provided here are to posts/newspaper reports offering “evidence” of their candidatures and will not link back to candidate websites.):

Electoral
Area
Independent/Non-Party candidate
Carlow
CarlowCllr. John Cassin, Bernard Jennings
TullowCllr. Charlie Murphy, Billy Nolan
MuinebeagDavid O’Brien
Cavan
Bailieborough-Cootehill
Ballyjamesduff
Cavan-
Belturbert
Brendan Fay
Clare
EnnisCllr. Ann Norton, Amanda Major, Dermot Hayes,
Alfonso D’Auria, Frank “Pinky” Cullinan,
Andre Hakizimana
KillaloeJoe Floyd
ShannonCllr. Gerry Flynn, Cllr. PJ Ryan, Cllr. Michael Begley
Ennistimon
KilrushCllr. Ian Lynch, Noreen Lynch, Joseph Woulfe
Cork
County
CarrigalineCllr. Marcia D’Alton, Ben Dalton O’Sullivan
Bandon-
Kinsale
Cllr. Alan Coleman, Cormac Hayes, Pat O’Regan
MacroomNigel Dennehy, Martin Coughlan, Mary O’Callaghan Hallissey
CobhSeán O’Connor, Karen Doyle Independent4Change,
Peter Kidney
MidletonCllr. Mary Linehan Foley, Martin E. Murray,
Noel Collins
Fermoy
KanturkAdo Mazombe
Mallow
BantryCllr. Danny Collins, Finbarr Harrington
Clonakilty-
Skibbereen
Cllr. Declan Hurley, Brendan McCormack
Cork City
Cork City
North East
Cllr. Ger Keohane, Sean O’Sullivan,
Mobolaji Taiwo Ajisafe, Noreen Murphy
Cork City
North West
Cllr. Kevin Conway, Joe O’Callaghan, Sandra Condon,
Timothy J. Hogan
Cork City
South
Central
Cllr. Paudie Dineen, Cllr. Mick Finn,
Lekha Menon Margassery, Sean Cronin,
Ciaran Kenneally, Suzanne Hegarty, Graham O’Shea, Maurice Sexton
Cork City
South East
Cllr. Kieran McCarthy
Cork City
South West
Cllr. Thomas Moloney
Donegal
DonegalValerie McNulty, Cllr. Tom Conaghan,
Cllr. Seamus Maguire, Billy Grimes,
Diarmaid Doherty, Justin Coughlin,
Cllr. Niamh Kennedy, Sean O’Beirne,
Pauric Kennedy
GlentiesCllr. Micheál Cholm MacGiolla Easbuig, Liam Whyte
MilfordCllr. Ian McGarvey, Cllr. John O’Donnell,
Declan Meehan, Charlie McGinley
BuncranaCllr. Nicholas Crossan, Sinéad Stewart,
Frankie Lavelle, Mark McKinney
LetterkennyCllr. Michael McBride, Cathal MacFhloinn,
Finnian O’Donnell, Thoiba Ahmed,
Kevin Bradley, Charlie McClafferty
CarndonaghArthur Desmond McGuinness
Lifford-
Stranorlar
Alan McMenamin, Michael De Ward
Dublin City
Ballyfermot-
Drimnagh
Cllr. Vincent Jackson, Richard Murray,
Robert Michael Foley,
Nicky Uzell Independent4Change
Ballymun-
Finglas
Cllr. Noeleen Reilly, Diarmuid MacDubhghlais,
Bernie Hughes Independents4Change, Linda Greene, Lucy O’Connor
Artane-
Whitehall
Cllr. John Lyons, Cllr. Paddy Bourke, Paul Clarke
DonaghmedeNiamh McDonald
Cabra-
Glasnevin
Cllr. Cieran Perry,
Micheál Kelliher Independents4Change,
Stephen O’Loughlin, Seán McCabe,
Sarah Louise Mulligan
ClontarfCllr. Damian O Farrell, Michael Paul Burke
Kimmage-
Rathmines
Cllr. Ruari McGinley,
Cllr. Pat Dunne Independents4Change,
Samantha Long, Sarah Lipsett, Garrett McCafferty
North Inner
City
Cllr. Christy Burke, Cllr. Nial Ring, Anthony Flynn,
Neil Armstrong, Marius Marosan,
Joseph McGucken, Marcin Czechowicz,
S.G. Raja Sekhar Reddy
South West
Inner City
Patrick Coyne
South East
Inner City
Cllr. Mannix Flynn,
Cllr. Sonya Stapleton Independents4Change
PembrokeSimon Cox
Dún
Laoghaire-
Rathdown
BlackrockReji Chacko Jacob
Dún
Laoghaire
Cllr. Michael Merrigan
DundrumCllr. Anne Colgan, Cllr. Seamas O’Neill,
Sean McLoughlin
Glencullen-
Sandyford
Cllr. Kevin Daly, Cllr. Lynsey McGovern,
Michael Fleming
Killiney-
Shankill
Sandra Archer
StillorganCllr. Deirdre Donnelly, Gearóid O Keeffe
Fingal
County
BalbrigganCllr. Grainne Maguire, Cllr. Tony Murphy,
Martin Hughes
Rush LuskCllr. Cathal Boland, Roslyn Fuller, Eóin Corcoran,
Sandra Sweetman, Glenn Brady, Davin Browne
CastleknockKevin Mullally
Howth-
Malahide
Cllr. Jimmy Guerin, Tom Daly
Blanchardstown-
Mulhuddart
Cllr. Lorna Nolan, Aran Smeallie,
Robert Loughlin, Marius Marosan
OngarCllr. Tania Doyle, Raghu Nath Narayanam,
Ramesh Racherla
SwordsCllr. Joe Newman, Duane Michael Brown,
Dean Mulligan Independent4Change
James Fitzpatrick, Paul Uzo,
Fergal O’Connell
South
Dublin
County
ClondalkinCllr. Francis Timmons, Shakeel Jeeroburkan, Eoin Ó Broin, David Moore Independent4Change
Palmerstown-
Fonthill
Alan Hayes, Cllr. Gus O’Connell,
Cllr. Ruth Nolan Independent4Change
Sikandar Jahanzab, Cllr. Paul Gogarty
LucanCllr. Liona O’Toole,
Cllr. Ruth Nolan Independent4Change,
Cllr. Paul Gogarty, Anwar Malik
Tallaght
Central
Cllr. Mick Duff
Tallaght
South
Ray Kelly
Rathfarnham-
Templeogue
Cllr. Ronan McMahon
Firhouse-BohernabreenaAlan Edge
Galway
City
Galway City
Central

Cllr. Colette Connolly, Cllr. Mike Cubbard,
Mike Geraghty, Patrick Feeney, , James O’Toole,
Daragh O’Flaherty
Galway City
East
Cllr. Noel Larkin, Cllr. Declan McDonnell,
Cllr. Terry O’Flaherty, Pat Hardiman, Michael Tully
Galway City
West
Cllr. Donal Lyons, Marc Anderson, Darius Ivan,
Marian Maloney, Patrick Feeney, Claire Keegan,
Tommy Roddy
Galway
County
Athenry-
Oranmore
Cllr. James Charity, Cllr. Gabe Cronnelly,
Cllr. Jim Cuddy, Josette Farrell
Gort
Kinvara
Geraldine Donohue, Declan Diviney,
Hubert Geoghegan, Cormac MacGowan Independent4Change
BallinasloeCllr. Timmy Broderick, Aisling Dolan,
Declan Geraghty, Harriet Bruce
Conamara
North
Cllr. Tom Welby, Josie Conneely,
Críostóir Breathnach
Conamara
South
Cllr. Tomás Ó Curraoin, Críostóir Breathnach, Patrick Feeney
LoughreaCllr. Pat Hynes, Eoin Madden
TuamCllr. Karey McHugh, Cllr. Shaun Cunniffe,
Cllr. Billy Conneelly, Thomas (T.P.) Niland,
Dermot Ryan
Kerry
KillarneyCllr. Maura Healy-Rae, Cllr. Michael Gleeson KIA,
Cllr. Brendan Cronin, Cllr. Donal Grady,
Niall Botty O’Callaghan
ListowelMichael Pixie O’Gorman, John Martin O’Sullivan
An DaingeanDavid Russell
KenmareCllr. Johnny Healy-Rae, Cllr. Dan McCarthy
CastleislandJackie Healy-Rae Junior, Charlie Farrelly
TraleeCllr. Sam Locke, Yvonne Dineen, Ted Cronin, Denis O’Reilly
Kildare
AthyTony McNamee
CelbridgeCllr. Brendan Young, Cllr. Íde Cussen, Tony Murray, Michael Beirne, Peter Kavanagh
LeixlipCllr. Anthony Larkin, Michael Reidy, Sean Gill
MaynoothCllr. Teresa Murray, John Reid
ClaneCllr. Padraig McEvoy, Tomas Hogan
KildareDeclan Crowe
NewbridgeCllr. Fiona McLoughlin Healy, Cllr. Morgan McCabe, Gerard Delaney
NaasCllr. Sorcha O’Neill, Cllr. Seamie Moore,
Gerard Dunne
Kilkenny
Castlecomer
KilkennyLuke O’Connor, Eugene McGuinness,
Enya Kennedy, Noel Gerard Walsh
Callan-
Thomastown
Trish Finegan, Cllr. Breda Gardner,
Michael McGrath, John Kelly, John Carroll
PiltownCllr. Melissa O’Neill, Alan Curran
Laois
Borris in
Ossory-
Mountmellick
Cllr. James Kelly, Cllr. Brendan Phelan,
Oliver Clooney, Brian Furlong, Ger Hogan
Graiguecullen-PortarlingtonCllr. Ben Brennan
PortlaoiseNaeem Iqbal, Tom Duffy, Judy Preston-Grace,
Leitrim
BallinamoreCllr. Gerry Dolan, Sean Wynne, Denis O’Brien
Carrick-on-ShannonCllr. Enda Stenson, Cllr. Des Guckian,
Yvonne Hollidge
, Sean Wynne , Denis O’Brien
ManorhamiltonCllr. Felim Gurn, Jamie Murphy
Limerick
Limerick
City East
Noel Hannan, Derek Mulcahy, Diarmuid Ryan
Limerick
City North
Cllr. Frankie Daly, Kevin Kiely, Ruth Clarke,
Des Hayes, Dean Quinn
Limerick
City West
Cllr. John Loftus, Mark Carey, Cathal McCarthy,
Sunnymartins Duruagwu, Fergus Kilcoyne,
Jamie Morrisey, Jim Long
Adare-
Rathkeale
Cllr. Emmett O’Brien, Cllr. Richard O’Donoghue
Cappamore-
Kilmallock
Cllr. Brigid Teefy, PJ Carey
Newcastle
West
Christy Kelly, Sean O’Mahony
Longford
BallymahonCllr. Mark Casey, Tony Moran, PJ Walsh,
Charlie McMonagle
GranardTurlough Pott McGovern, Grace Kearney
LongfordCllr. Mae Sexton, Cllr. Gerry Warnock, Julia O’Reilly
Tony Reilly, Seamus Gallagher, George Breaden
Louth
ArdeeCllr. Jim Tenanty, Hugh D Conlon, Enda Murray,
Albert D. Byrne, Kevin Carroll
Drogheda
Urban
Cllr. Kevin Callan, Cllr. Frank Godfrey,
Paddy McQuillan
Drogheda
Rural
Cllr. Kevin Callan, Cllr. Frank Godfrey
Dundalk-
Carlingford
Dundalk-
South
Cllr. Maeve Yore, Oliver Morgan
Mayo
BallinaCllr. Seamus Weir, Mark Duffy, Willie Nolan
CastlebarCllr. Michael Kilcoyne,
Harry Barrett, Gerry Loftus,
Antoin Mac An Bheatha (Anthony Vesey)
,
Aidan Crowley
ClaremorrisCllr. Richard Finn
SwinfordSean Forkin
BelmulletJay Heneghan
WestportCllr. Christy Hyland, Darragh McGee,
John O’Malley, Frank McAlonan
Meath
AshbourneCllr. Joe Bonner, Cllr. Sharon Keogan
KellsCllr. David Gilroy
Laytown-
Bettystown
Cllr. Sharon Keogan, Cllr. Tom Kelly, Patrick Smith
NavanCllr. Francis Deane, Cllr. Wayne Forde, Alan Lawes,
Stephen Ball
RatoathCllr. Brian Fitzgerald, Cllr. Nick Killian,
Fergus O’Riordan, Cllr. Gillian Toole, Seán Henry
TrimCllr. Trevor Golden
Monaghan
Ballybay-
Clones
Cllr. Hughie McElvaney
Carrickmacross-
Castleblaney
MonaghanCllr. Paudge Connolly, Cllr. Seamus Treanor,
Tommy Hagan, Alvin McGlone, Paddy Grenham,
James Mee
Offaly
BirrCllr. John Carroll, Joe Wynne, Habibul Mukhtiar
EdenderryCllr. John Foley, Fergus McDonnell
TullamoreSean O’Brien, John Bracken
Roscommon
Athlone (Roscommon)Cllr. Ivan Connaughton, Cllr. Tony Ward,
Cllr. Laurence Fallon, Donal Kilduff, Derek McCabe
BoyleCllr. Valerie Byrne HAC, Tom Crosby,
Sajjad Hussain, Mary O’Donnell
RoscommonCllr. Kathleen Shanagher, Cllr. Nigel Dineen,
Cllr. Domnick Connolly, Tony Waldron,
Padraig Morris, John Groarke
Sligo
Ballymote-
Tobercurry
Cllr. Joe Queenan, Cllr. Michael Clarke,
Barry Gallagher, Willie Gormley
Sligo-
Drumcliff
Cllr. Marie Casserly, Amanda Gallagher,
Corey Whyte Independents4Change
Sligo-
Strandhill
Cllr. Declan Bree Independents4Change,
Jimmy McGarry
Tipperary
Carrick-on-
Suir
Cllr. Michael O’Meara, Pierce O’Loughlin
CahirCllr. Andy Maloney, Cllr. Martin Lonergan,
Máirín McGrath
Cashel-
Tipperary
Annemarie Ryan March4Tipp,
Lisa Flynn March4Tipp, Barry Walsh March4Tipp
ClonmelCllr. Richie Molloy, Niall P. Dennehy
NenaghCllr. Seamus Morris, Cllr. Joe Hannigan,
Cllr. Michael O’Meara (LT – “Lowry Team”),
Cllr. Hughie McGrath, Graham King
NewportJohn “Rocky” McGrath (LT)
Roscrea-
Templemore
Cllr. Eddie Moran (LT), Shane Lee (LT),
Tommy Murphy,
ThurlesCllr. David Doran, Cllr. Michael Lowry (LT),
Cllr. Jim Ryan, Tommy Barrett, Michael Bracken,
Catherine Fogarty
Waterford
Waterford
City East
Cllr. Davy Daniels, Cllr. Matt Shanahan,
Michael Garland, Lee Walsh
Waterford
City South
Cllr. Sean Reinhardt, Cllr. Cha O’Neill,
Andrew Power, Donal Barry, Vivienne Burns,
Brendan Byrne
Tramore-
Waterford
City West
Cllr. Joe Conway, Cllr. Blaise Hannigan,
Cllr. Joe Kelly, Brendan Byrne
Portlaw-KilmacthomasAnn Troy, Dolores Whelan
DungarvanCllr. Séamus O’Donnell, Caren Hallahan,
Ciara Langan, Joe O’Riordan
Lismore
Westmeath
Athlone
(Westmeath)
Cllr. Paul Hogan (Boxer’s Independent Team – BIT),
Cllr. Michael O’Brien (BIT), Jamie Moran (BIT)
,
Imelda Geraghty, Donal Jackson, PJ Coghill
MoateCllr. Michael O’Brien, Searlait Cabdi Ní Chianáin
MullingarCllr. Mick Dollard, Chris Murtagh, Alice McDonnell,
Sean Lynch
KinnegadCllr. Úna D’Arcy
Wexford
GoreyJimmy Fleming
Kilmuck-
ridge
Cllr. Mary Farrell
EnniscorthyCllr. John O’Rourke, Jackser Owens,
Annette Byrne-Moran Independents4Change,
John “Texas” Byrne
New RossCllr. Anthony Connick, John Dwyer, Pat Barden
Rosslare
(Kilmore)
Cllr. Ger Carthy, Terry Lawton,
Jane Johnstone Independents4Change
WexfordCllr. David Hynes, Leonard Kelly
Wicklow
ArklowCllr. Mary McDonald, Cllr. Miriam Murphy,
Tommy Breen, Pier Leonard, Pat Hoey
BaltinglassCllr. Gerry O’Neill, Lorraine O’Brien
Bray EastMalachai Duddy, Brendan Murphy
Bray WestCllr. Joe Behan, Rory O’Connor
GreystonesCllr. Tom Fortune, Mags Crean, Charlie Keddy
WicklowCllr. Mary Kavanagh, Cllr. John Snell,
Jimmy O’Shaughnessy, Daire Fitzgerald

I will be adding to this list as and when I come across further declarations of intentions to contest these elections on the part of other non-party candidates. This cohort of candidates often tends to be the hardest to glean information on, so this list may not be as up to date/accurate as the similar posts for the different parties.

An article by Siún Lennon on the Laois Today website (5th November 2018) reported that Cllrs. James Kelly and Ben Brennan both intend to contest the 2019 Local elections.

Corey Whyte will contest the election in Sligo-Drumcliff, as reported in the Sligo Champion (11th December 2018). As reported in the Tuam Herald (14th December 2018), Cllr. James Charity has confirmed his intention to contest the next local elections in Athenry-Oranmore. Cllr. Gabe Cronnelly, as reported in the Galway Advertiser (3rd January 2019), has also announced his intention to contest that same electoral area. As reported by the Donegal Democrat (13th December 2018), Cllr. Tom Conaghan (of Donegal Town) announced his intention to contest the next local elections.

An Evening Echo (12th December 2018) report noted that Cllr. Ger Keohane – elected in Cobh for Sinn Féin in 2014 – will be contesting the Cork City North East electoral area.

The Donegal Democrat (10th January) has reported that Brian Carr, who previously contested the 2014 elections, “is set to contest the upcoming elections”.

As reported on the Radio Kerry website (13th January 2018), David Russell, who works closely with Deputy Michael Healy-Rae, will contest the An Daingean electoral area.

As reported on the Midlands 103 website (14th January 2019), Cllr. Mick Dollard announced in January 2019 that he was leaving the Labour Party and would be contesting the next local elections as an independent candidate.

Former Councillor, John Dwyer, has announced his intention to try and regain his seat in the New Ross electoral area, as reported in the new Ross Standard (12th January 2019).

As reported on the Drogheda Life website (16th January 2019), Cllr. Kevin Callan has announced his intention to contest both the Drogheda Rural and Drogheda Urban electoral areas.

Yvonne Hollidge will be contesting the Carrick on Shannon electoral area as a non-party candidate, as reported in the Leitrim Observer (29th January 2019).

As reported in the Donegal Democrat (7th February 2019), former Fianna Fáil Ballyshannon Town Councillor, Billy Grimes, will be contesting the Donegal (Town) electoral area as an independent candidate. That edition of the Donegal Democrat also reports that former Bundoran Town Councillor, Diarmaid Doherty, will also be contesting the Donegal electoral area as a non-party candidate.

TJ Hogan announced he was going to contest the Cork City North West electoral area in December 2018, but later withdrew from the contest on personal reasons, as reported on the Evening Echo website.

Cllr. Margaret Gormley has announced her intention to contest Ballymore-Tobercurry again, but she sadly passed away on 4th April 2019. As noted on the Ocean FM website (23rd April 2019), her nephew, Willie Gormley, will now contest that electoral area as an independent candidate.

It had been expected that Rotimi Adebari, the first “New Irish” candidate to win a seat in a City and County Council election (in Portlaoise in 2014) would be contesting the election, as was reported by Laois Today (4th Febryary 2019), but he has now stated that it is “unlikely” that he will contest the elections (Leinster Express, 29th April 2019). Ger Hogan, who had announced his intention to contest Borris in Ossory-Mountmellick in February 2019 (via Laois Today, 25th February 2019), seemed to have withdrawn from the contest in the week before the close of nominations, but subsequently did appear on the ballot paper.

Paul Brophy had announced his intention to run in Kilkenny City, but withdrew from the election a few days ahead of the close of moniations, as reported by the Kilkenny People (3rd May 2019).

Gerry O’Boyle announced his intention to contest the Roscommon electoral areas, but did not subsequently appear on the ballot paper.

Claire Cullen-Delsol had announced her intention to contest Waterford City South, but did not subsequently appear on the ballot paper.

Anna Doyle had announced her intention to contest Wicklow (Town), but did not subsequently appear on the ballot paper.

Aidan Quigley had announced his intention to contest New Ross, but did not subsequently appear on the ballot paper.

Thomas Kelly, had declared his intention to contest Manorhamilton, but did not subsequently appear on the ballot paper for that electoral area.

Derek Doyle had announced his intention to contest South East Inner City, but did not appear on the final ballot paper.

Karl Mooney had announced his intention to contest the Rush Lusk electoral area, but did not appear on the final ballot paper.

Barry Mooney had announced his intention to contest the Blanchardstown-Mulhuddart electoral area, but did not appear on the final ballot paper.

Ian Croft and Derek Cryan had announced their intention to contest the Swords electoral area, but did not appear on the final ballot paper.

Sean F Ó Drisceoil had announced his intention to contest the Conamara South electoral area, but did not appear on the final ballot paper.

Posted in Candidates, Candidates Local Elections 2019, local elections, Local Elections 2019 | Tagged , , , | 6 Comments

Does Size Matter? Reviewing the”Report on European Parliament Constituencies 2018″

Adrian Kavanagh, 24th September 2018

A new boundary report was published today by the Constituency Commission, outlining the new European Parliament election constituency boundaries that will be in place at the next European elections in May 2019. BREXIT and the subsequent surrender of the United Kingdom’s European Parliament seats has led to the Republic of Ireland gaining an extra two seats in that Parliament. This report redrew the Irish election constituencies, taking those two added seats into account.

The main changes made by the Commission may be viewed in this image below:

Europeparliarment

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TDs (32nd Dáil Éireann) who will not be contesting the next general election

Adrian Kavanagh, 10th August 2018

Following on similar posts that were completed ahead of the 2011 General Election and the 2016 General Election, this post will list all of the Dail deputies who have retired/stepped down during the lifetime of the current Dail or who have announced that they will not be contesting the next general election. This list will not include any outgoing Dail deputies, who did contest their party’s selection convention but failed to win a nomination

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Social Democrat candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, First posted 20th July 2018, with updates as new candidate nominations announced. Any links in this post are to online announcements of candidate selections – there will be no specific links to candidate webpages.

The fourth of my series of rolling blog posts, in which I detail the latest information as to candidate selections relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping). The rule of thumb here is that I will add party candidates in most cases only after they have been officially selected to run for the party at a selection convention or by some other means of candidate selection. I try my best to find information about local election candidate selection conventions, but in some cases this information is hard to find and occasionally it can be some time after a convention takes place before I find this information and hence am in a position to update this page accordingly.

The post will focus on the candidate selections for the Social Democrats.

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Posted in Candidates, Candidates Local Elections 2019, local elections, Local Elections 2019 | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

The Younger Ones: General Election 2020 candidates aged between 21 and 35

Adrian Kavanagh, Originally posted on 20th July 2018

In a similar vein to earlier posts relating to the 2016 General Election and 2011 General Election candidates and a similar post relating to younger candidates contesting the 2014 City and County Council elections, this page seeks to list the names, and party affiliations, of all the candidates for the 2016 General Election whose ages fall in the 21-35 years age category. (Candidates whose ages fall in the 18-30 years age category will be denoted by a * – all the other candidates listed here fall into the 31-35 year age category, apart from those cases where it is not clear whether the candidates falls into the 21-30 or 31-35 age categories.)

Please note that this is an incomplete list due to difficulties in getting age-related information. Given the difficulties involved in getting age details for some candidates, the likelihood is that I will miss out on some names that should be included here, but I will do my best to ensure this list is as accurate as possible.

If you note any glaring absences (and especially if you are one of the candidates that should be listed below, or else are incorrectly listed below), then please feel free to comment below, or to Tweet me at @AdrianKavanagh or email me at adrian.p.kavanagh@mu.ie instead.

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Solidarity candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, First posted 10th July 2018 – initially as a joint post involving candidates for both Solidarity and People Before Profit, but these have now been separated across different pages – with updates as new candidate nominations announced. Any links in this post are to online announcements of candidate selections – there will be no specific links to candidate webpages.

The third of my series of rolling blog posts, in which I detail the latest information as to candidate selections relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping). Continue reading

Posted in Candidates, Candidates Local Elections 2019, local elections, Local Elections 2019 | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments

Sinn Féin candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, First posted 6th July 2018 with updates as new candidate nominations announced. Any links in this post are to online announcements of candidate selections – there will be no specific links to candidate webpages.

The second of my series of rolling blog posts in which I detail the latest information as to candidate selections relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping). The rule of thumb here is that I will add party candidates only after they have been officially selected to run for the party at a selection convention or by some other means of candidate selection (such as additions by party headquarters) and not on the basis that “they are virtually guaranteed to run/be selected…” This post will focus on the Sinn Féin candidate selections.

According to my best estimates, Sinn Féin currently has one hundred and forty one City/County Councillors. The party won one hundred and sixty seats at the 2014 Local Elections, but a number of defections from the party over the following five years has reduced their overall number of City/County Councillors. Despite the overall reduction in the overall number of local elected representatives, Sinn Fein will be confident of increasing its number of councillors especially in the wake of a series of promising opinion poll results over the past few years. The changes in electoral boundaries, and particularly the overall reduction in constituency district magnitudes, may work for, or against, Sinn Féin in terms of translating support levels into seat level, depending on the party geography of support at next year’s elections and on vote transfer patterns.

As of now (7th May 2019), two hundred and thirty Sinn Féin local election candidates are listed on this page. 

Seventy eight of these candidates are women (33.9%) and one hundred and fifty two of these are men (66.1%). As far as I am aware, at least one hundred and sixty three Sinn Féin selection conventions have taken place so far, meaning there are still three electoral areas that have not yet got Sinn Féin candidates listed as contesting them on the list below: Gort-Kinvara (Galway), Adare-Rathkeale (Limerick) and Westport (Mayo).

One hundred and thirty (56.5%) of these selected Sinn Féin local election candidates are currently incumbents (City Council or County Council members). Thirty (23.1%) of these Councillor candidates were co-opted to replace former Sinn Féin Councillors over the five year period since Local Elections 2014. 61.2% of male Sinn Féin local election candidates are incumbents, as opposed to 46.2% of female Sinn Féin local election candidates.

The candidates that have been officially selected to contest the 2019 Local Elections as Sinn Féin candidates include:

Electoral AreaSinn Féin candidates
Carlow
Carlow7Ciarán Dooley
Tullow6Cllr. Jim Deane
Muinebeag5Cllr. Andy Gladney
Cavan1
Bailieborough-
Cootehill
6Cllr. Paddy McDonald,
Bridget Boyle
Ballyjamesduff6Cllr. Noel Connell,
Geraldine Harten
Cavan-
Belturbert
6Cllr. Damien Brady,
Cllr. Daniel Downey
Clare
Ennis7Donna Deirdre McGettigan
Killaloe5Seán Naughton
Shannon7Cllr. Mike McKee
Ennistymon4Noeleen Moran
Kilrush5Violet-Anne Wynne
Cork County5
Carrigaline6Cllr. Michael Frick Murphy
Bandon-Kinsale6Noel Harrington
Macroom6Cllr. Ronnie Morley
Cobh6Louise Murphy
Midleton7Cllr. Danielle Twomey, Shane Neville
Fermoy6Helen White
Kanturk4Lillian Meade
Mallow5Cllr. Melissa Mullane
Bantry4Donnchadh Ó Seaghdha
Clonakilty-
Skibbereen
5Cllr. Paul Hayes
Cork City3
Cork City North East6Cllr. Mick Nugent,
Mandy O’Leary-Hegarty
Cork City
North West
6Cllr. Kenneth Collins,
Cllr. Thomas Gould,
John Stanton
Cork City
South Central
6Cllr. Eoghan Jeffers,
Cllr. Fiona Kerins
Cork City
South East
6Cllr. Chris O’Leary
Cork City
South West
7Cllr. Henry Cremin, Eolan Ryng
Donegal 
Donegal6Cllr. Noel Jordan, Mick McMahon
Glenties6Cllr. Marie-Therese Gallagher,
Cllr. John Sheamais Ó Fearraigh,
Brian Carr
Milford3Maria Doherty
Buncrana5Cllr. Jack Murray, Terry Crossan
Letterkenny7Cllr. Gerry McMonagle,
Cllr. Adrian Glackin
Carndonagh4Cllr. Albert Doherty
Lifford-Stranorlar6Cllr. Gary Doherty,
Cllr. Liam Doherty
Dublin City6 
Ballyfermot-
Drimnagh
5Cllr. Daithí Doolan, Cllr. Greg Kelly
Ballymun-Finglas6Cllr. Cathleen Carney-Boud,
Cllr. Anthony Connaghan,
Martin Matthews,
Rose Emmett
Artane-Whitehall6Cllr. Larry O’Toole, Cllr. Edel Moran
Donaghmede5Cllr. Mícheál Mac Donncha
Cabra-Glasnevin7Cllr. Seamas McGrattan,
Paul O’Farrell
Clontarf6Cllr. Ciaran O’Moore
Kimmage-
Rathmines
6Cllr. Ray McHugh, Fearghal Donnelly
North Inner City7Cllr. Janice Boylan, Belinda Nugent, Declan Hallissey
South West
Inner City
5Cllr. Críona Ní Dhalaigh
South East
Inner City
5Cllr. Chris Andrews,
Susan Gregg Farrell
Pembroke5Larry Kenna
Dun Laoghaire-
Rathdown
40 
Blackrock6Grainne Ferris
Dún Laoghaire7Séamus Mac Floinn
Dundrum7Cllr. Sorcha Nic Cormac
Glencullen-
Sandyford
7Shaun Tracey
Killiney-Shankill7Cllr. Shane O’Brien
Stillorgan6Rosie Ní Laoghaire
Fingal County40 
Balbriggan5Cllr. Malachy Quinn
Rush Lusk5Noeleen O’Hagan
Castleknock5Cllr. Natalie Treacy, Ryan Fitzgerald
Howth-Malahide7Cllr. Daire Ní Laoi
Blanchardstown-Mulhuddart6Breda Hanaphy, Damien Bissett
Ongar5Cllr. Paul Donnelly, Marian Buckley
Swords7Lorraine O’Connell, Cllr. Ann Graves
South Dublin
County
40 
Clondalkin7Lisa Kinsella Colman, William Carey
Palmerstown-
Fonthill
5Cllr. Danny O’Brien, Cllr. Mark Ward
Lucan5Derren O Bradaigh
Tallaght Central6 Cllr. Cathal King, Cllr. Cora McCann
Tallaght South5Cllr. Louise Dunne,
Cllr. Dermot Richardson,
Paddy Holohan
Rathfarnham-
Templeogue
7Cllr. Robert Russell
Firhouse-
Bohernabreena
5Cllr. Sarah Holland
Galway City 
Galway City Central6Cllr. Mark Lohan
Galway City East6Cllr. Mairéad Farrell
Galway City West6Cllr. Cathal O Conchuir
Galway County39 
Athenry-Oranmore7Louis O’Hara
Gort Kinvara5
Ballinasloe6Cllr. Dermot Connolly
Conamara North4Cllr. Tom Healy
Conamara South5Kevin O’Hara
Loughrea5Annemarie Roche
Tuam7Stiofán de Lundres Ó Dálaigh
Kerry33 
Killarney7John Buckley
Listowel6Cllr. Robert Beasley, Cllr. Tom Barry
An Daingean3Robert Brosnan
Kenmare6Cllr. Damian Quigg
Castleisland4Kate McSweeney
Tralee7Cllr. Toireasa Ferris, Cllr. Pa Daly,
Cathal Foley
Kildare40 
Athy5Cllr. Thomas Redmond
Celbridge4John Paul Monks
Leixlip3Anthony Doyle
Maynooth5Cllr. Reada Cronin
Clane5Mark Gibbs
Kildare5Patricia Ryan 
Newbridge6Noel Connolly
Naas7Niall Flynn
Kilkenny24 
Castlecomer6Joseph Kavanagh
Kilkenny7Cllr. Sean Tyrell
Callan-Thomastown6Cllr. David Kennedy
Piltown5Grace Doyle
Laois19 
Borris in Ossory-Mountmellick6Lorna Holohan Garry
Graiguecullen-Portarlington6Cllr. Aidan Mullins
Portlaoise7Cllr. Caroline Dwane Stanley, John Gormley
Leitrim1
Ballinamore6Cllr. Brendan Barry, Cllr. Caroline Mulvey,
Pat Gilhooley
Carrick-on-Shannon6Cllr. Séadhna Logan
Manorhamilton6Cllr. Padraig Fallon
Limerick40 
Limerick City East7Cllr. Séighin Ó Ceallaigh
Limerick City North7Cllr. John Costelloe, Sharon Benson,
John Nugent
Limerick City West7Cllr. Malachy McCreesh
Adare-Rathkeale6
Cappamore-
Kilmallock
7Jim Hickey
Newcastle West6Cllr. Seamus Browne
Longford18 
Ballymahon6Geraldine Ryan Devlin
Granard5Mark Maguire
Longford7Tena Keown
Louth29 
Ardee6Cllr. Pearse McGeough,
Brendan McKenna
Drogheda Urban6Cllr. Kenneth Flood,
Cllr. Joanna Byrne, Cllr. David Saurin
Drogheda Rural4Cllr. Tom Cunningham, Leanne Saurin
Dundalk-Carlingford6Cllr. Edel Corrigan, Cllr. Antóin Watters, Eugene Garvey
Dundalk-South7Cllr. Tomás Sharkey, Cllr. Ruairí Ó
Murchú, Cllr. Anne Campbell
Mayo30 
Ballina6Michael Regan
Castlebar7Cllr. Joe McHale
Claremorris6Natasha Ward
Swinford4Cllr. Gerry Murray
Belmullet3Cllr. Teresa Whelan
Westport4
Meath40 
Ashbourne6Cllr. Darren O’Rourke, Aisling O’Neill
Kells7Cllr. Michael Gallagher,
Cllr. Johnny Guirke
Laytown-
Bettystown
7Cllr. Eimear Ferguson,
Fergal O’Byrne
Navan7Cllr. Sinéad Burke,
Cllr. Edward Fennessy
Ratoath7Cllr. Maria O’Kane
Trim6Cllr. Caroline Lynch
Monaghan 
Ballybay-Clones5Cllr. Pat Treanor, Rosie Smyth O’Harte
Carrickmacross-
Castleblaney
6Cllr. Noel Keelan, Cllr. Jackie Crowe,
Cllr. Colm Carthy
Monaghan7Cllr. Brian McKenna, Cllr. Seán Conlon,
Cllr. Cathy Bennett, Cat Moen
Offaly19 
Birr6Cllr. Sean Maher
Edenderry6Alan Davy
Tullamore7Ann Marie Ennis
Roscommon18 
Athlone (Roscommon)6Joe Harney
Boyle6Cllr. Michael Mulligan
Roscommon6Seamus O’Brien
Sligo18 
Ballymote-
Tobercurry
7Daniel Gallagher
Sligo-Drumcliff5Thomas Healy
Sligo-Strandhill6Cllr. Chris MacManus
Tipperary0 
Carrick-on-Suir5Cllr. David Dunne, Joanne Ivors
Cahir4Danny Carroll
Cashel-Tipperary7Cllr. Martin Browne, Tony Black
Clonmel6Cllr.Catherine Carey
Nenagh5Damian O’Donoghue
Newport4Teresa Collins
Roscrea-
Templemore
4Michael Donovan
Thurles5 Ciara McCormack
Waterford 
Waterford City East6Cllr. Pat Fitzgerald, Michael Doyle
Waterford City
South
6Cllr. Breeda Brennan,
Cllr. John Hearne,
Warren Fitzgerald
Tramore-
Waterford City West
6Cllr. Jim Griffin, Leslie Hughes
Portlaw-
Kilmacthomas
5Cllr. Declan Clune
Dungarvan6Cllr Siobhán Whelan,
Conor McGuinness
Lismore3Louise Brierley
Westmeath2 
Athlone (Westmeath)5Padraig Hegarty
Moate4Peter Judge
Mullingar6Cllr. Sorca Clarke
Kinnegad5Hazel Behan
Wexford34 
Gorey6Cllr. Fionntán O Súilleabháin
Kilmuckridge4Colette Nolan
Enniscorthy6Cllr. Johnny Mythen
New Ross6Cllr. Marie Doyle
Kilmore5 Cllr. Mick Roche
Wexford7Cllr. Thomas Forde
Wicklow32 
Arklow6John Kelly
Baltinglass6Aidan Kinsella
Bray East4Grace McManus
Bray West4Cllr. Dermot O’Brien
Greystones6Cllr. Nicola Lawless
Wicklow6Muireann Dalton

Cllr. Danielle Twomey was selected to contest the East Cork electoral area in January 2018, as reported by the East Cork Journal (27th January 2018) – this electoral area was subsequently replaced by the new Midleton electoral area when local election boundaries were redrawn in June 2018. Louise Murphy was selected as a Sinn Féin local election candidate for Cobh at a convention in the Commodore Hotel in Cobh on 19th January 2018 (as reported by the East Cork Journal (19th January 2018)).

As reported on the Talk of the Town website (16th November 2018), selection conventions for the three electoral areas located in the north/mid Louth area took place on 15th November 2018. The Tralee Today (18th November 2018) website reports that the two party incumbents were selected to contest the next local elections in the Tralee electoral area doe Sinn Féin. As reported on the Tralee Today website (17th November 2018), a number of other selection conventions took place In Kerry (Listowel, Kenmare and Killarney) in the days leading up to the Tralee convention. The party selection conventions for the four local electoral areas in Westmeath County all took place on 28th November 2019 (Cllr. Úna D’Arcy was selected to run at these conventions, but announced she was leaving the party in January 2019), with the convention for the Carrick on Suir electoral area also taking place on that same day. Selection conventions for electoral areas in the Dublin South-Central Dáil constituency area took place in the last week of November 2018.

The selection convention for the Cavan-Belturbet electoral area took place on 1st December 2018, as reported on the Northern Sound radio website (1st December 2018). Grace Doyle was selected as the candidate for the Piltown electoral area on 3rd December 2018., while Cllr. David Kennedy was selected to contest Callan-Thomastown on that same day. The party selection conventions for the three local electoral areas in Longford County also took place on that day. The selection convention for the Mallow electoral area took place on 5th December 2018, while the conventions for the electoral areas in Waterford County took place on 7th December 2018 (Michael Doyle and Leslie Hughes were selected as second candidates in the Waterford City East and Tramore-Waterford City West electoral areas at a second convention on 21st January 2019.). The Kilkenny City selection convention took place on 10th September 2018, while the selection convention for Nenagh took place on 9th December 2018, as reported on the Tipperary Live (11th December 2018) website. The selection convention for the An Daingean electoral area took place on 10th December 2018 in Lispole, as reported on the Radio Kerry website (11th December 2018). Selection conventions took place for the electoral areas in Limerick City on 10th December 2018, with conventions in Cork City South East on 11th December 2018 and in Clondalkin and Palmerston-Fonthill on 12th December 2018 and in Ennistymon on 13th December 2018. Selection conventions for the two Tallaght electoral areas, Cork City South Central electoral area and the Swords electoral area all took place on 14th December 2018. Cllr. Cathal King was selected to contest Tallaght South at this convention, but decided to move to contest Tallaght Central when the initially-selected Cllr. Brendan Ferron decided that he would not be contesting the elections after all. On 13th February 2019 it was decided that Paddy Holohan would take Cathal King’s place on the Tallaght South candidate slate.

The selection convention for the Borris in Ossory-Mountmellick electoral area took place on 17th December 2018. The selection conventions for the Ennis and Fermoy electoral areas took place on 18th December 2018, while the conventions for the two Bray electoral areas took place on 19th December 2018, as reported on the WicklowNews website (20th December 2018). As reported by the Leinster Leader (21st December 2018), the Athy selection convention took place on 20th December 2018, with the selection conventions for Rathfarnham-Templeogue and Killaloe also taking place that same day. The selection conventions for the electoral areas in Co. Offaly also took place around this time, as did the convention for the Ballymun-Finglas electoral area, as well as Ennis and Kilrush. A number of selections also took place for electoral areas in Co. Wexford at the end of December 2018, including the Gorey, Enniscorthy, Kilmuckridge and New Ross electoral areas, as reported by the Wexford Today website (21st December 2018/28th December 2018).

As reported on the Shannonside radio website (9th January 2019), the selection convention for the three electoral areas in Roscommon County take place on 11th January 2019; with just one candidate contesting each of these, these will be uncontested. The selection convention for the Kanturk electoral area took place on that same weekend.

As reported on the WicklowNews website (24th January 2019), the selection convention for Greystones took place in late January 2019. The Firhouse-Bohernabreena selection convention also took place in late January 2019. Selection conventions for the Blackrock, Stillorgan, Killiney-Shankill and Dundrum electoral areas took place on 23rd January 2019. Selection conventions for most of the electoral areas in Mayo County took place on 25th January 2019. Muireann Dalton was selected as the candidate for the Wicklow (Town) electoral area also on 25th January 2019. The selection conventions for the electoral areas in Leitrim County also took place during that same weekend. As reported on the Northern Sound website (28th January 2019), the final selection conventions for Cavan County took place in late January.

The selection convention for Ballymote-Tubbercurry took place on 27th January 2019 – this was also contested by Francis Gorman.

Shane Neville was selected to contest the Midleton electoral area on 28th January 2019, while Cllr. Mary McDonald was selected to contest the Arklow electoral area on that same day, as was Cllr. Daire Ní Laoi for the Howth-Malahide electoral area. However, in March 2019, Cllr. Mary McDonald announced that she was leaving Sinn Féin and would instead contest the elections as an independent candidate, as reported by the Wicklow News website (10th March 2019).

As reported on the Northern Sound website (5th February 2019), the convention for the Monaghan (Town) electoral area took place on 4th February 2019. The selection convention for Ballybay-Clones took place on 2nd February 2019, as also reported on the Northern Sound website (2nd February 2019).

The selection convention for Graiguecullen-Portarlington took place on 6th February 2019, while the convention for Skibbereen-West Cork took place on 8th February 2019.

The selection convention for Athenry-Oranmore will take place on February 15th 2019, as reported by the Galway Advertiser (14th February 2019). The Donegal (Town) convention took place on 14th February 2019, as reported on the Ocean FM website (15th February 2019).

The selection conventions for the two electoral areas on the Inishowen peninsula (Carndonagh and Buncrana) took place on 17th February 2019. The Letterkenny and Glenties conventions are scheduled to take place on 22nd February. The two incumbents are likely to be the two candidates nominated to contest the Letterkenny constituency, while the two incumbents in the Glenties electoral area – Marie-Therese Gallagher and John Sheamais Ó Fearraigh – will be contesting that convention, with three candidates to be selected there, as reported on the Donegal Daily (4th February 2019) website.

As reported in the Westmeath Examiner (23rd February 2019), Hazel Behan was selected to contest the Kinnegad electoral area.

On 28th February 2019 Marian Buckley was added to the Ongar candidate list, while Ryan Fitzgerald was added to the candidate list for Castleknock. The Tuam selection convention took place on the previous day (27th February 2019).

The selection of Cllr. Chris MacManus as the candidate for the Sligo-Strandhill electoral area was confirmed on 19th March 2019, as reported on the Ocean FM website (19th March 2019).

Posted in Candidates, Candidates Local Elections 2019, local elections, Local Elections 2019 | Tagged , , , | 7 Comments

Labour Party candidates for the 2019 Local Elections

Adrian Kavanagh, First posted 2nd July 2018 with updates as new candidate nominations announced 

The first of a series rolling blog posts in which I will detail the latest information as to candidate selections for the 20109 Local Elections, relating to the different political parties and grouping and/or candidate declarations (as in the case of the non-party grouping). The rule of thumb here will be that I add party candidates only after they have been officially selected to run for the party at a selection convention, or by some other means of candidate selection (e.g. added by party headquarters).

The post focuses on the Labour Party candidate selections. In the Autumn of 2018 the Labour Party had forty seven City/County Councillors, according to my best estimates. Declining support levels in the years following General Election 2011 saw Labour losing a large number of seats at the 2014 Local Elections and the 2016 General Election. So the 2019 Local Elections will prove to be very important for the Labour Party in terms of rebuilding the party in the wake of the losses in 2014 and 2016 (and also a number of defections in the period between 2011 and 2016).

8th May 2019: One hundred and eleven candidates are listed on this page so far.

Forty five of these candidates (40.5%) are women and sixty six are men (59.5%). As far as I am aware, at least ninety four Labour Party selection conventions have taken place so far. With one hundred and sixty six electoral areas being contested, this means that seventy two electoral areas will not have a Labour Party candidate in these elections.

Thirty six of these Labour Party local election candidates are currently sitting City/County Councillors (incumbents) – 33.3% of the total. 34.8% of male Labour local election candidates are incumbents, as opposed to 31.1% of female Labour candidates. At least thirteen (11.7%) other Labour Party candidates have previously held some form of electoral office.

The candidates contesting the 2019 Local Elections for the Labour Party include the following:

CandidatesLabour Candidates
Carlow18.
Carlow7Kevin Byrne
Tullow6Cllr. William Paton
Muinebeag5Cllr. William Quinn
Cavan18.
Bailieborough-Cootehill6Mary Roche
Ballyjamesduff6.
Cavan-Belturbert6Liam van der Spek
Clare28.
Ennis7Seamus Ryan
Killaloe5.
Shannon7.
Ennistymon4.
Kilrush5.
Cork County55.
Carrigaline6.
Bandon-Kinsale6.
Macroom6.
Cobh6Cllr. Cathal Rasmussen
Midleton7Eric Nolan
Fermoy6David Kenneally
Kanturk4.
Mallow5James Kennedy
Bantry-West Cork4.
Skibbereen-West Cork5.
Cork City31.
Cork City North East6John Maher
Cork City North West6Luke Carroll
Cork City South Central6Luke Field
Cork City South East6Peter Horgan
Cork City South West7Ciara Kennedy
Donegal37.
Donegal6.
Glenties6Seamus Rodgers
Milford3.
Buncrana5.
Letterkenny7.
Carndonagh4Cllr. Martin Farren
Lifford-Stranorlar6.
Dublin City63.
Ballyfermot-Drimnagh5Michael O’Sullivan
Ballymun-Finglas6Cllr. Andrew Montague
Artane-Whitehall6Cllr. Alison Gilliland
Donaghmede5Shane Folan
Cabra-Glasnevin7Marie Sherlock Doherty,
Declan Meenagh,
Cllr. Áine Clancy
Clontarf6Cllr. Jane Horgan-Jones
Kimmage-Rathmines6Cllr. Mary Freehill
North Inner City7Joe Costello
South West Inner City5Cllr. Rebecca Moynihan
South East Inner City5Kevin Donoghue
Pembroke5Cllr. Dermot Lacey
Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown40.
Blackrock6Cllr. Deirdre Kingston
Dún Laoghaire7Valerie McDermott,
Juliet O’Connell
Dundrum7Cllr. Peter O’Brien
Glencullen-Sandyford7Cllr. Lettie McCarthy
Killiney-Shankill7Cllr. Carrie Smyth,
Cllr. Denis O’Callaghan
Stillorgan6Paul Gordon
Fingal County40.
Balbriggan5Seána Ó Rodaigh
Rush Lusk5Cllr. Robert O’Donoghue,
Corina Johnston
Castleknock6John Walsh
Howth-Malahide7Cllr. Brian McDonagh
Blanchardstown-Mulhuddart5Cllr. Mary McCamley
Ongar5Elaine Dooley
Swords7Cllr. Duncan Smith,
Yulia Ghumman
South Dublin County40.
Clondalkin7Robert Dowds
Palmerstown-Fonthill5David Eaton
Lucan5Joanna Tuffy
Tallaght Central6Denis Mackin
Tallaght South5.
Rathfarnham-Templeogue7Cllr. Pamela Kearns,
Cllr. Paddy Cosgrave 
Firhouse-Bohernabreena5Aideen Carberry
Galway City18.
Galway City Central6John McDonagh
Galway City East6Liam Boyle
Galway City West6Cllr. Nial McNelis
Galway County39.
Athenry-Oranmore7Marian Spelman
Gort Kinvara5.
Ballinasloe6.
Conamara North4.
Conamara South5.
Loughrea5.
Tuam7.
Kerry33.
Killarney7Marie Moloney
Listowel6.
An Daingean3.
Kenmare6Luke Crowley-Holland
Castleisland4.
Tralee7Cllr. Terry O’Brien,
Ben Slimm
Kildare40.
Athy5Cllr. Aoife Breslin,
Cllr. Mark Wall
Celbridge4Ciara Galvin
Leixlip3Mairead Beades
Maynooth5Angela Feeney
Clane5.
Kildare5Paul Hutchinson
Newbridge6Ciara O’Reilly
Naas7Cllr. Ann Breen,
Fergus Carpenter
Kilkenny24.
Castlecomer6Denis Hynes
Kilkenny 7Andrea Cleere
Callan-Thomastown6.
Piltown5Cllr. Tomás Breathnach
Laois19.
Borris in Ossory-
Mountmellick
6.
Graiguecullen-Portarlington6Eoin Barry
Portlaoise7Cllr. Noel Tuohy
Leitrim18.
Ballinamore6.
Carrick-on-Shannon6.
Manorhamilton6.
Limerick40.
Limerick City East7Cllr. Elena Secas
Limerick City North7Anne Cronin,
Conor Sheehan
Limerick City West7Cllr. Joe Leddin
Adare-Rathkeale6.
Cappamore-Kilmallock7.
Newcastle West6.
Longford18.
Ballymahon6.
Granard5.
Longford7.
Louth29.
Ardee6.
Drogheda Urban6Cllr. Paul Bell,
Cllr. Pio Smith
Drogheda Rural4Michelle Hall
Dundalk-Carlingford6.
Dundalk-South7.
Mayo30.
Ballina6.
Castlebar7Kamal Uddin
Claremorris6.
Swinford4.
Belmullet3.
Westport4.
Meath40.
Ashbourne6.
Kells7Aaron Byrne
Laytown-Bettystown7Annie Hoey
Navan7.
Ratoath7.
Trim6Tracey McElhinney
Monaghan18.
Ballybay-Clones5.
Carrickmacross-
Castleblaney
6.
Monaghan7.
Offaly19.
Birr6.
Edenderry6.
Tullamore7.
Roscommon18.
Athlone (Roscommon)6.
Boyle 6.
Roscommon6.
Sligo18.
Ballymote-Tobercurry7.
Sligo-Drumcliff5.
Sligo-Strandhill6Nessa Cosgove 
Tipperary40.
Carrick-on-Suir5Sarah Dunne
Cahir4.
Cashel-Tipperary7Robert O’Donnell
Clonmel6.
Nenagh5Louise Morgan Walsh
Newport4Cllr. Fiona Bonfield
Roscrea-Templemore4.
Thurles5.
Waterford32.
Waterford City East6.
Waterford City South6Seamus Ryan
Tramore-Waterford City West6.
Portlaw-Kilmacthomas5Ger Barron
Dungarvan6Thomas Phelan
Lismore3Cllr. John Pratt
Westmeath20.
Athlone (Westmeath)5.
Moate4Cllr. Johnnie Penrose
Mullingar  6Mark Scally,
Margaret Lynam-Sweeney
Kinnegad5Denis Leonard,
Lorraine Scally
Wexford34.
Gorey6Cllr. Robert Ireton
Kilmuckridge4Nicky Wafer
Enniscorthy6.
New Ross6Bridín Moloney
Rosslare5.
Wexford7Cllr. George Lawlor,
Joe Ryan,
Maura Bell
Wicklow32.
Arklow6.
Baltinglass6.
Bray East4Anne Ferris
Bray West4Ian McGahon
Greystones6Anna Waithira Burke
Wicklow6Paul O’Brien

Fiona Bonfield and Viginia O’Dowd, were both selected as Labour Party local election candidates on 29th June 2018 (as reported subsequently on by The Nenagh Guardian (9th July 2018)). Virigina O’Dowd subsequently withdrew from the election contest and will be replaced as Labour’s Nenagh candidate by Louise Morgan Walsh, as reported by the Tipperary Live website (20th February 2019). Liam van der Spek was identified as the party’s candidate for the Cavan-Belturbet electoral area by the The Anglo-Celt (21st June 2018). Cllrs Pio Smith and Paul Bell were selected to contest the Drogheda Urban electoral area in July 2018. A series of selections for the Dublin Mid-West Dáil constituency area on 30th July 2018 saw Breda Bonner, Joanna Tuffy and David Eaton being selected as Labour Party candidates for the three different electoral areas located there. On 31st July 2018 John Maher was selected as the candidate for the Cork City North East electoral area.

Jack Walsh was selected as the Waterford City East candidate and Seamus Ryan was selected as the Waterford City South candidate at a selection convention on 14th September 2018. Cllr. Kevin Byrne was selected as the Labour Party candidate for Celbridge at a selection convention in the Celbridge Manor Hotel on 18th September 2018, as reported by the Leinster Leader (19th September 2018). However, he later withdrew from the electoral contest and announced that he was retiring from politics, as reported by the Linster Leader (12th April 2019). Ciara Galvin was selected as the candidate for Celbridge, subsequently, at a second party convention, which took place on 15th April 2019. Peter Horgan was selected as the Cork City South East candidate for the Labour Party at a convention on 24th September 2018. With Cllr. John McGinley not contesting the next local elections, Angela Feeney was selected as the Labour candidate for the Maynooth electoral area at a selection convention on 25th September 2018. Liam van der Spek was officially selected as the candidate for Cavan-Belturbet on 29th September 2018.

A selection convention for the Athy electoral area on October 2nd 2018 selected Cllrs. Aoife Breslin and Mark Wall as Labour Party candidates for that electoral area. Seána Ó Rodaigh was selected to contest the Balbriggan electoral area on 3rd October 2018. Anne Ferris and Ian McGahon were selected as candidates for the Bray West and Bray East electoral areas, respectively, at a convention, which took place on 7th October 2018. Cllr. Anne Breen and Fergus Carpenter were selected as Labour candidates for the seven-seat Naas electoral area at convention which took place on 2nd October 2018, as reported in the Leinster Leader (5th October 2018). A selection convention on 11th October 2018 in Limerick confirmed the selections of Cllr. Elena Secas, Cllr. Joe Leddin, Anne Cronin and Conor Sheehan as candidates in that area. Cllr. Mary Freehill, Cllr. Dermot Lacey and Kevin Donoghue were selected as candidates for the electoral areas covered (mainly) by the Dublin Bay South electoral area at a selection convention on 15th October 2018. luke Field was selected as the Cork City South Central candidates on 22nd October 2018. Selection conventions for the Newbridge and Kildare electoral areas took place on 25th October 2018. Aaron Byrne was selected as the party candidate for the Kells electoral area at a selection convention on 30th October 2018, while Cllrs. Graham Spring and Terry O’Brien, along with Ben Slimm, were selected as candidates for the Tralee electoral area on that same night. Cllr. Graham Spring, however, later withdrew from the local election contest, as reported on the Radio Kerry website (20th March 2019). Mary McCamley and Elaine Dooley were selected as candidates for the Blacnhardstown-Mulhuddart and Ongar electoral areas respectively also on the 30th October. In late October 2018, it was announced that Michelle Hall would be the Labour candidate for the Drogheda Rural electoral area, as reported on the Drogheda Life website (26th October 2018).

Eric Nolan was selected as the Labour Party candidate for Midleton on 12th November 2018. Paul O’Brien was selected as the Labour Party candidates for the Wicklow electoral area on 15th November 2018. Selection conventions for the Kenmare and Killarney electoral areas took place on 27th November 2018, while the Cabra-Glasnevin selection convention took place on 22nd November 2018.

The selection convention for the Carlow electoral area took place on 8th December 2018, while the selection convention for the Wexford (Town) electoral area took place on 12th December 2018.

Jack Walsh was selected to contest Wateford City East, but sadly passed away in January 2019.

Selection conventions for all of the electoral areas in Westmeath County (apart from Athlone) took place on Friday 11th January 2019.

As reported on the Clare FM website (15th January 2019), Seamus Ryan will be the Labour candidate for the Ennis electoral area.

Bridín Moloney was selected as the Labour candidate for New Ross at a selection convention, which took place on 14th January 2019.

The selection convention for the Rush Lusk electoral area took place on 24th January 2019.

The selection convention for the Dún Laoghaire electoral area took place on 31st January 2019.

Cllr. Peter O’Brien, who won a seat in Glencullen-Sandyford in the 2014 elections, was selected as the Dundrum candidate on 6th February 2019, following on Cllr. Grace Tallon’s decision not to contest the May elections.

The Donegal Democrat (12th February 2019) reported that Seamus Rodgers would be the Labour candidate in the Glenties electoral area.

Eoin Barry will contest the Graiguecullen-Portarlington constituency for Labour and his selection will be formally endorsed at a selection convention in late February 2019, as reported by the Laois Nationalist (13th February 2019). This convention took place in the Talbot Hotel on 22nd February 2019, with Cllr. Noel Tuohy also being selected to contest Portlaoise at that same convention, as reported by the Leinster Express (23rd February 2019). In February 2019 it was also announced that Nessa Cosgrove would be the party candidate for Sligo-Strandhill, as reported by the Ocean FM website (13th February 2019).

The selection convention for the Swords electoral area took place on 21st February 2019, while the selection convention for Castlecomer electoral area took place on 20th February 2019.

As reported by the Galway Advertiser (7th March 2019), selection conventions for Galway City West and Galway City Central took place on 3rd March 2019.

Cllr. William Paton was selected to contest the Tullow electoral area on 20th March 2019.

The Leixlip selection convention took place on 21st March 2019, as reported in the Leinster Leader (28th March 2019).

The selection convention for Cork City North West took place on 25th March 2019. The Dungarvan selection convention will take place on 29th March 2019, with Thomas Phelan the only candidate nominated to contest this.

The selection convention for Galway City East took place on 4th April 2019.

Annie Hoey was selected to contest the Laytown-Bettystown electoral area for Labour on 23rd April 2019.

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Geographical perspectives on the May 2018 referendum contest

Adrian Kavanagh, 29th May 2018

With a national turnout rate of 64.1% – just 1.0% lower than the national turnout level for the 2016 General Election – the Regulation of Termination of Pregnancy (Repeal of 8th Amendment) referendum was passed with 66.4% of the valid votes (almost two-thirds of all the valid votes cast).

ReferendumTurnoutTrends_19372018

Figure 1: Turnout levels at Irish referendum elections, 1937-2018

In actual voter number levels, the turnout at this referendum was 2,159,655, making this the referendum contest with the highest ever number of voters since the foundation of the state. In percentage terms (as shown by Figure 1), this marked the highest turnout level for a referendum contest, or set of referendum contests, since the three referendum contests that took place on the same day as the November 1992 General Election contest. This was also the highest turnout level for a “stand alone” referendum contest since the 1971 referendum on Membership of the EEC. Continue reading

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